The Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever will play in Game 3 of the 2025 WNBA Semifinals on Friday night. After splitting the first two games, the series shifts to Indiana for a pivotal Game 3, where the winner will be one win away from a trip to the WNBA Finals. Will the Aces build on their Game 2 triumph, or will Indiana use home-court advantage to take a 2-1 lead? To find out what I think, continue reading for my Aces vs Fever Game 3 prediction.
Our Aces vs Fever Game 3 Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces −4.5
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever
- Date & Time: Friday, September 26, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: ESPN2
Aces vs Fever Game 3 Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces –4.5 | Aces –192 / Fever +160 | Over 162.5 |
Key Storylines
- Las Vegas roared back after dropping Game 1 of this series. They blew out the Fever 90-68 at home in Game 2. League MVP A’ja Wilson led all scorers with 25 points on 10/18 shooting and her efficiency will be a key to Game 3 as well.
- The Indiana bench scored six points in Game 2 of this series. Depth is a huge issue for them due to all of the injuries they are dealing with. But Vegas having a 24-6 edge in bench points can’t happen again if Indiana wants to avoid relinquishing home-court advantage.
- The Fever are still without Caitlin Clark for the remainder of the postseason after she was ruled out prior to the playoffs. Indiana must continue to operate without her playmaking and shot creation. Indiana is also without Sophie Cunningham, Sydney Colson, and Aari McDonald for the rest of the playoffs.
- Kelsey Mitchell has carried Indiana on her back in this postseason, including a 34-point performance in Game 1. She remains the engine for Indiana’s offense and will draw heavy defensive attention.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
In the regular season, Indiana won the season series 2–1 over Las Vegas. The Fever are 3-2 against the Aces between the regular season and playoffs. Both teams have covered the spread once in this best-of-five semifinal series so far.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | Over 2.5 made 3-pointers |
| A’ja Wilson | Over 24.5 points |
| NaLyssa Smith | Over 7.5 rebounds |
| Odyssey Sims | Over 12.5 points |
Aces vs Fever Game 3 Model Projection
Score Projection: Las Vegas 83 – Indiana 77
Win Probability: Las Vegas 62%, Indiana 38%
Final Thoughts
This game will determine which team has two chances to win and advance to the WNBA Finals. I think it will be the Las Vegas Aces that win this Game 3 and take a 2-1 series lead. The Aces have been so good at bouncing back after lapses in this postseason and they should do it again here against a Fever team whose lack of bench depth will only cause them more problems as this series progresses. Expect Vegas to cover the spread as a road favorite, leaning on their championship experience every step of the way.
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- Source: https://ats.io/wnba/las-vegas-aces-vs-indiana-fever-game-3-prediction-9-26-2025/468280/