The Atlanta Dream will visit the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday night. Both teams are resuming their seasons after the All-Star break. These teams enter the second half of the year in playoff position and will look for a win to help their seeding prospects. Here, I break down this inter-conference matchup and bring you my Dream vs Aces prediction for Tuesday.
Our Dream vs Aces Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Bonus Bets For the Game: Use BetMGM promo code ATSBONUS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet does not win!
✓ Any Sport Odds Boosts
✓ Free to Play MLB Game
✓ Easy Parlay Builder
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: July 22, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ESPN
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces –1.5 | Aces –142 / Dream +120 | 163 |
Key Storylines
- Injury Concerns: Rhyne Howard is banged up for Atlanta. Jackie Young of the Aces had to cut her All-Star Game short due to injury. Health will be a huge factor for both sides here.
- Allisha Gray: Gray leads the Dream in scoring this season. She was an All-Star and will look to prove herself against a beat-up perimeter defense for the Aces.
- A’ja Wilson: The Aces star averages 22.3 PPG and the Aces are demanding a lot from her due to their lack of bench depth.
- Playoff Race: The Dream are fifth in the WNBA standings this season. Vegas starts the second half in the eighth and final WNBA playoff spot. Both teams are playing for playoff positioning.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
This is the first game of a three-game regular-season series between the Aces and Dream. They will also play on August 19 and August 27. The Dream are 12-10 against the spread for the year. The Aces are 8-14 against the spread. Vegas is tied with the LA Sparks for the fewest wins against the spread this season.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | Over 18.5 points | She’s averaging 18.4 PPG and will need to carry the offensive load with Howard ailing. |
| A’ja Wilson | Over 23.5 points | Wilson should be able to spread the floor to get good looks against Brionna Jones and Brittney Griner. |
| Brionna Jones | Over 7.5 rebounds | Jones leads Atlanta with 7.8 RPG. She doesn’t have a ton of competition on the glass from Las Vegas other than Wilson. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: Atlanta is fourth in the league in offensive rating. Vegas ranks ninth in that department.
- Defense: Atlanta is sixth in the league in defensive rating. Vegas is ninth in that category as well.
- Pace: The Dream are 12th in pace this year. Vegas plays at a faster pace but is only in the middle of the pack in tempo.
- Home/road splits: Las Vegas has gone 6-4 at home this season. Atlanta is a game below .500 on the road at 5-6.
Dream vs Aces Model Projection
Score Projection: Dream 84 – Aces 82
Win Probability: Atlanta 52%, Las Vegas 48%
Final Thoughts
I think we are in for a close game in Las Vegas on Tuesday night. The difference in this game will be scoring depth. Atlanta has the edge in that facet of the game. They have more players who are healthy and can hurt you with their scoring. For that reason, I will take the Dream as slight underdogs to win outright on the road here.
Affiliate Disclosure
ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: https://ats.io/wnba/atlanta-dream-vs-las-vegas-aces-prediction-odds-picks-july-22-2025/448909/