The Atlanta Dream will face the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday night, with both teams returning from the All-Star break. As they approach the second half of the season, each team seeks a win to enhance their playoff seeding positions. Here’s an analysis of this inter-conference matchup and a prediction for the Dream vs. Aces game on Tuesday.
Our Dream vs. Aces Pick
– **Pick:** Atlanta Dream Moneyline
– **Confidence:** ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
– **Matchup:** Atlanta Dream @ Las Vegas Aces
– **Date & Time:** July 22, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
– **Venue:** Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
– **Broadcast:** ESPN
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|———|——————|——-|
| Aces -1.5 | Aces -142 / Dream +120 | 163 |
Key Storylines
1. **Injury Concerns:** Rhyne Howard is dealing with injuries for Atlanta. Jackie Young of the Aces exited the All-Star Game with an injury. Health will play a crucial role for both teams.
2. **Allisha Gray:** Gray, an All-Star, leads the Dream in scoring and will aim to exploit the Aces’ perimeter defense.
3. **A’ja Wilson:** The Aces’ star player, averaging 22.3 PPG, is relied upon heavily due to the team’s limited bench strength.
4. **Playoff Race:** The Dream are currently fifth in the WNBA standings. The Aces occupy the eighth and final spot. Both teams are striving for better playoff positions.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
This matchup marks the first of a three-game regular-season series between the Aces and Dream. They are scheduled to meet again on August 19 and August 27. The Dream hold a 12-10 record against the spread this year. Meanwhile, the Aces have a 8-14 record against the spread, tying with the LA Sparks for the fewest wins against the spread this season.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|—————–|——————|————————————————————————–|
| Allisha Gray | Over 18.5 points | Averaging 18.4 PPG, she will need to carry the offense with Howard injured.|
| A’ja Wilson | Over 23.5 points | Expected to spread the floor effectively against Brionna Jones and Brittney Griner.|
| Brionna Jones | Over 7.5 rebounds| Leading Atlanta with 7.8 RPG, she faces little competition on the glass from Las Vegas. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
– **Offense:** Atlanta ranks fourth in offensive rating, while Vegas holds the ninth position.
– **Defense:** Atlanta is sixth in defensive rating, with Vegas also ranking ninth.
– **Pace:** The Dream are 12th in pace. Vegas plays at a faster pace but remains mid-range in tempo.
– **Home/road splits:** Las Vegas has a 6-4 home record. Atlanta is slightly below .500 on the road at 5-6.
Dream vs. Aces Model Projection
– **Score Projection:** Dream 84 – Aces 82
– **Win Probability:** Atlanta 52%, Las Vegas 48%
Final Thoughts
Expect a close match in Las Vegas on Tuesday night. Scoring depth could be the decisive factor, with Atlanta having an edge thanks to their healthy scoring options. Therefore, I back the Dream as slight underdogs to win outright on the road.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com