The 2025 John Deere Classic takes place from July 3-6 at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, IL, offering a great opportunity for bettors looking for value. With a smaller field than major PGA Tour events and the Open Championship the following week, many players see this as a prime chance to secure a victory. Defending champion Davis Thompson returns after setting a record with a 28-under last year. However, much attention is on Ben Griffin, the betting favorite at approximately +1600.
Birdie production and solid putting are crucial at this par-71 course, spanning 7,289 yards. Below is a preview, including a prediction and detailed analysis of the event.
Our 2025 John Deere Classic Pick
– Pick: Denny McCarthy to win (+2800)
– Confidence: ★★★★☆
– Bonus Bets For the Tournament: Use bet365 promo code ATSBONUS to bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets for the John Deere Classic
2025 John Deere Classic Preview
TPC Deere Run is known for high-scoring events. Winners over the past six years have averaged scores of -20 or better, with Davis Thompson’s -28 in 2024 setting a record. The course requires precise tee shots, sharp approach play, and exceptional putting.
Denny McCarthy, a top putter on the PGA Tour, combines all three skills, ranking high in strokes gained in putting and showing consistent approach and distance control. He has three consecutive top-7 finishes here, making this a significant opportunity for him.
While Ben Griffin is the favorite due to momentum from two wins this season, Jason Day presents potential but has struggled off the tee, a concern on a course favoring accurate ball-striking. Longshots like Michael Thorbjornsen and Jake Knapp are intriguing, but a low score is necessary to win.
2025 John Deere Classic Course Info
– Location: TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois
– Par: 71
– Yardage: 7,289 yards
– Greens: Bentgrass
– Course Record: 59 (achieved by Paul Goydos in 2010 and matched by Hayden Springer in 2024)
– Layout: Stadium-style public course with challenging sloping fairways, mature oak surroundings, and water hazards that penalize errant shots.
– Scoring environment: Historically one of the ninth-easiest courses on Tour, averaging 1.57 strokes under par per round, ideal for precise ball strikers with strong putting.
Betting Odds
– Ben Griffin +1600
– Jason Day +2500
– Denny McCarthy +2800
– Michael Thorbjornsen +3000
– Si Woo Kim +3000
– J.T. Poston +3000
– Davis Thompson +3000
2025 John Deere Classic Prediction
Denny McCarthy emerges as a smart choice for the outright win. His elite putting and course history make him a standout at TPC Deere Run. While Griffin is in great form, McCarthy’s fit with the course offers better value. Longshot contenders like Thorbjornsen and Jake Knapp have potential but lack overall consistency. McCarthy’s odds suggest strong value. At +2800, he’s undervalued given his skills and current form. My model projects him as a leading contender for both the win and a high leaderboard finish.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com