The final day of the 2025 Wimbledon Championships arrives after an exciting two weeks in South London.
The men’s singles final on day 14 will feature a thrilling match between the top two players, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner.
Both have had moments of fortune on their path to the final. Alcaraz nearly faced a first-round exit, while Sinner was close to defeat in the fourth round until Grigor Dimitrov retired with a two-set lead.
However, this is irrelevant now, as fans can anticipate an intense showdown in the sweltering heat. The pair last faced each other in a grand slam final at Roland Garros just last month, and if this final matches that one, the Centre Court crowd will be in for a spectacular experience.
Play is set to begin at 16:00 UK time. Check out our Wimbledon men’s final tips below.
Wimbledon men’s final tips: Three-leg bet builder
Carlos Alcaraz 10+ aces (4/6)
Holding serve is crucial on Sunday, especially on grass due to the challenge of breaking back on this fast surface.
Both players have strengths as servers. Sinner boasts a higher first serve percentage and has been broken less often, but Alcaraz possesses a more powerful first serve and hits more aces.
In the past two weeks, Alcaraz has delivered 75 aces over six matches, averaging 12.5 aces per match.
Though Sinner is the best returner Alcaraz has faced thus far, making it tough to reach this average on Sunday, the prospect of a five-set match boosts Alcaraz’s chances for more aces.
Opting for a safe 10+ while maintaining value at 4/6 seems wise.
Jannik Sinner to win the first set (17/20)
Both players have dropped the first set once during the Championships, but Alcaraz has lost more sets overall – five compared to Sinner’s two.
Alcaraz is more prone to concentration lapses; if Sinner begins strongly, it may take Alcaraz a set to adjust to the required level.
Alcaraz is certainly capable of reaching this level, but hasn’t needed to yet. Sinner, however, defeated the most successful male tennis player in the semi-finals, entering the final with sharper form.
Moreover, Sinner has won the first set in five of their last six encounters.
Over 44.5 games (27/20)
To reach 45 games on Sunday, a five-set match isn’t a necessity. A four-set match ending 7-5, 5-7, 7-5, 6-3 would suffice, and these scores are reasonable considering how evenly matched these two are.
I anticipate this match going to five sets, but by betting on games rather than sets, there’s a safeguard if one player finishes in four sets. A straight-sets win seems unlikely, so this selection should remain viable.
The last three grand slam meetings between Sinner and Alcaraz have all surpassed the 44-game mark.
Wimbledon men’s final betting tips: Bet builder price
– Carlos Alcaraz 10+ aces
– Jannik Sinner to win the first set
– Over 44.5 games
– 13/2
Andy is a tipster who has covered golf tournaments for years across different platforms, from the Asian Tour to the Masters. He also follows football closely and is an expert on European football.
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- Source: SCCGManagement.com