The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals will close out their three-game set on Wednesday at Truist Park. Both clubs are already eliminated from postseason contention and this game is largely just for pride. Atlanta is the favorite after winning the first two games of this series. Can Atlanta extend their impressive winning streak in this matchup? Continue reading to get my Nationals vs Braves prediction for Wednesday afternoon.
Our Nationals vs Braves Pick
- Pick: Nationals Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 24, 2025, 12:15 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Bryce Elder (ATL) vs Andrew Alvarez (WSH)
- Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South / MASN
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Bryce Elder draws the start for Atlanta today. He enters with an 8–10 record and a 5.36 ERA. His WHIP sits at 1.42. Elder has had a rough season, at times giving up hard contact and struggling to keep runners off the basepaths. Elder is the more experienced pitcher going into this game. But that doesn’t necessarily mean that he is going to be the better pitcher in this game.
Washington counters with Andrew Alvarez, a rookie lefty who has just four MLB starts so far. He’s 1–1 with a 2.84 ERA and a modest 1.11 WHIP over those outings. That said, Alvarez’s major league sample of work is small, and he’ll be facing a red-hot Atlanta lineup with a chance to prove himself.
Recent team streaks
- Atlanta is riding a hot streak, having won 10 in a row. They have won the first two games of this series at home.
- Washington has dropped two games in a row after winning two straight against the Mets to close out their last series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Over 0.5 HR |
| Michael Harris II | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Atlanta leads their season series with the Nationals by a 9-3 margin.
- Atlanta has outscored Washington 14-7 in this series so far.
- This is the final time that Atlanta and Washington are set to play in the 2025 MLB season.
Nationals vs Braves Model Projection
Score Projection: Braves 4 – Nationals 5
Win Probability: Braves 50%, Nationals 50%
Final Thoughts
Atlanta is at home and playing the best baseball they have played all season long. They have won 10 straight games and they have the more experienced pitcher throwing in this contest. But Bryce Elder has struggled throughout this season for the Braves and I’m not convinced that he will avoid struggling in this game. I think the Nationals have a high upside as an underdog in this game, as they should be able to score some early runs against Elder and make life difficult on him.
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- Source: https://ats.io/mlb/washington-nationals-vs-atlanta-braves-prediction-9-24-2025/468237/