The Washington Capitals (6-3-0) will look to keep their perfect road record as they face the Dallas Stars (5-3-1) at American Airlines Center on Tuesday night. Both teams have winning records early in the year and will try to make a statement in what could end up being a preview of this year’s Stanley Cup Final. Before the puck drops in Dallas, continue reading to get my Capitals vs Stars prediction for tonight’s game.
Our Capitals vs Stars Pick
- Pick: Washington Capitals to Win
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars
- Date & Time: Tuesday, October 28, 2025, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
Recent Form
The Capitals have been impressive on the road, starting the season with a perfect 3-0-0 record away from home. Their recent 5-1 road victory over the Blue Jackets highlighted their offensive depth and ability to defend in a hostile environment. The Stars come into this game on a two-game winning streak and they will try to move up in the Central Division standings with a third straight win tonight.
Goaltending
Logan Thompson has been a revelation for the Capitals. He enters tonight with a 5-1-0 record with a 1.50 GAA and .938 SV%. His stellar performances in net have been a cornerstone of Washington’s success. Jake Oettinger has been solid for the Stars, but his 2.99 GAA indicates room for improvement. The Capitals’ offensive firepower may test Oettinger more than he has been accustomed to this season.
Key Skaters
Washington’s Tom Wilson leads the team with 11 points (5 goals, 6 assists), while Dylan Strome has contributed 10 points (2 goals, 8 assists). The Stars will rely on Wyatt Johnston, who leads the team with six goals. They will also need production from Mikko Rantanen, who has 11 points (4 goals, 7 assists), to generate offense.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat |
|---|---|
| Tom Wilson | Over 0.5 Goals |
| Dylan Strome | Over 0.5 Assists |
| Logan Thompson | Under 2.5 Goals Allowed |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first of the two regular-season games these teams will play against each other this year.
- Washington is 4-5 on the puckline this season.
- Dallas is 2-7 on the puckline entering this game.
- Both teams have had the total go under in five of their nine games this year.
Capitals vs Stars Model Projection
- Score Projection: Capitals 4 – Stars 2
- Win Probability: Capitals 55%, Stars 45%
Final Thoughts
The Capitals’ strong road form and potent offense give them a slight edge in this matchup. While the Stars have home-ice advantage, they are playing sub-.500 hockey at home early in the season. I expect the Caps to exploit that and for Washington get a statement win in Texas on Tuesday night.
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- Source: https://ats.io/nhl/washington-capitals-vs-dallas-stars-prediction-10-28-2025/472875/