With UFC 317 heading to T-Mobile Arena this Saturday, June 28, 2025, the women’s flyweight contest between Viviane Araujo and Tracy Cortez promises to be intense. Although Cortez is the betting favorite, Araujo’s experience and resilience suggest a full three-round bout. Here’s my prediction for their fight at UFC 317.
**Our Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez Pick**
– **Pick:** Viviane Araujo by unanimous decision
– **Confidence:** ★★★☆☆
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**Tale of the Tape**
| | Viviane Araujo | Tracy Cortez |
|—|—|—|
| Age | 38 | 31 |
| Reach | 68″ | 65.5″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 13‑6‑0 | 11‑2‑0 |
**Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez Preview**
Araujo, with 19 professional fights, showcases a steady flyweight division record, having faced top talents like Alexa Grasso and Amanda Ribas without being finished since joining the UFC. Ranked eighth in the division, she aims to climb further with a victory.
Cortez, 31, seeks redemption after a five-round decision loss to Rose Namajunas in July 2024. Known for her aggressive style, she boasts 57% significant strike accuracy and averages a couple of takedowns per fight. Though she hasn’t finished an opponent in the UFC, she often wears them down.
**Betting Insights**
– Moneyline odds favor Cortez at -250, while Araujo stands at +205 to win.
– The fight is expected to go the distance, with the over 2.5 rounds at -720, suggesting neither fighter will lose inside the distance.
**Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez Prediction**
Cortez is the fresher, more explosive fighter at UFC 317. Younger by seven years, her aggressive style offsets a slight reach disadvantage. Her loss to Namajunas did highlight potential weaknesses in takedown defense and stamina in longer fights.
Araujo relies on her durability and grinding pace. If she withstands Cortez’s early pressure and extends the fight, she could succeed as an underdog. By neutralizing takedown attempts and dictating the pace, Araujo can control rounds late.
The fight is likely to reach the judges. There’s value in backing Araujo as the underdog, hoping she impresses the judges in a bout likely to last the full 15 minutes.
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- Source: SCCGManagement.com