- Pirates standout Paul Skenes competes with Tigers experienced player Jack Flaherty on Monday night in Pittsburgh
- Despite differing win/loss records, the Pirates are minor home favorites, highlighting the market’s regard for Skenes
- Check out the Tigers vs Pirates odds, my predictions, and player-prop picks for DET vs PIT tonight
The Detroit Tigers (60-40, 28-22 away, 50-45-5 O/U) visit the Steel City to face the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-61, 26-24 home, 39-57-4 O/U) on Monday, July 21st. The game begins at 6:40 pm ET at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, with talented sophomore Paul Skenes pitching for the home team against veteran Jack Flaherty for the visitors.
Despite their struggles and low standing in the NL, the Pirates are minor home favorites against the AL-leading Tigers, thanks to their star pitcher.
Jump to: DET vs PIT Odds | Batter-vs-Pitcher Stats | DET vs PIT Player Props | DET vs PIT Prediction
Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
The Tigers/Pirates odds position Pittsburgh as a -125 moneyline favorite, with Detroit at +105. Removing the juice, the moneyline suggests a 53.2% win probability for Pittsburgh and 46.8% for Detroit. On the runline, the Tigers are favored at -214 to keep the score close, while the Pirates are +176 to win by multiple runs. The total is set at a low 7.0 runs, reflecting the potential for a pitchers’ duel between Skenes and Flaherty, with Flaherty facing a struggling Pittsburgh lineup.
Odds as of July 21, 2025 from BetMGM. Check out SBD’s BetMGM review for the latest promo code.
DET vs PIT Odds Movement
There’s been significant movement on the game’s total. While the moneyline and runline have remained stable since opening, there’s been substantial activity on the total. It started at 7.0 runs, with the over at +100 and the under at -120. It has shifted to over 7.0 (-118), showing that 86.8% of bets and 78.8% of the handle favored the over.
This public preference for the over likely stems from the Tigers’ strong offense, averaging nearly two more runs per game than the Pirates, and a trend where the over hit in the last five meetings between these teams. This creates a potential opportunity for value on the under.
Detroit Tigers Statistics vs Paul Skenes
Skenes has dominated the current Tigers lineup in their limited encounters, striking out 14 of 34 batters. Hitters are managing a .156 average against him, with Spencer Torkelson and Zach McKinstry going a combined 0-for-10 with six strikeouts.
Matt Vierling hit a home run off Skenes in a previous meeting, which ended in a 10-2 win for Pittsburgh. Skenes pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs on three hits and a walk with nine strikeouts.
Pittsburgh Pirates Statistics vs Jack Flaherty
The Pirates have fared better against Flaherty, with a .304 average and .957 OPS in 79 at-bats. Five Pirates have homered against him: Isiah Kiner-Fal
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- Source: SCCGManagement.com