Friday night’s matchup in Seattle pits the struggling Connecticut Sun against a confident Seattle Storm team. With the Sun seeking their second road win of the season and the Storm playing well for the most part, this game has the biggest point spread of any WNBA game scheduled for Friday. Let’s break it down, as you can keep reading to find my Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm prediction.
Our Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Pick
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Connecticut Sun @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: Friday, June 27, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ION
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| SEA -19 | SEA -2800 / CON +1300 | 156 |
Key Storylines
- The Sun have lost 7 straight and own a 2–13 record, including a 1–7 mark on the road.
- Connecticut’s top perimeter scorer Marina Mabrey is sidelined with a knee injury, further weakening their struggling offense.
- The Storm lost to the Indiana Fever in their last game, a surprising result given that they held Caitlin Clark in check for most of that contest.
- Seattle enters Friday night in fifth place in the WNBA standings and they need to take advantage of winnable games like this one if they want to move up as the season goes on.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first of four regular-season meetings scheduled between Connecticut and Seattle this season.
- Seattle is 9-6 against the spread this year, matching their 9-6 straight-up record.
- Connecticut is 6-9 against the spread, better than their 2-13 straight-up mark, though that isn’t a high bar to clear.
- Seattle is 9-6 to the over in their games in 2025, while the Sun are 8-6-1 to the under.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | Over 7.5 REB | Ogwumike averages 8.2 rebounds per game and should have her way with a Sun team that averages just 30.5 rebounds per game as a team. |
| Tina Charles | Over 15.5 PTS | Charles leads Connecticut with 16.2 points per game and will be their lone reliable scorer with Mabrey out. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Storm have the fourth-best offensive rating in the WNBA, while Connecticut is the worst team in the league in that category.
- Connecticut also has the worst defensive rating in the WNBA. Seattle is 8th.
- Both teams are in the bottom half of the league in pace. Connecticut is 11th in pace, while Seattle is 9th.
- Potential mismatch: Seattle’s guard duo of Skylar Diggins and Gabby Williams will likely be too dynamic for Connecticut’s backcourt to contain.
Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Model Projection
Score Projection: Sun 72 – Storm 82
Win Probability: Connecticut 14%, Seattle 86%
Final Thoughts
Connecticut is clearly the worst team in the WNBA from what we’ve seen so far this season. But laying 19 points in this league is asking for trouble. Expect the Storm to win this game comfortably, but for the Sun to cover the number, while the game stays under the total, thanks mostly to the offensive ineptitude of the Sun.
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- Source: https://ats.io/wnba/connecticut-sun-vs-seattle-storm-prediction-odds-picks-june-27-2025/424479/