The undefeated Minnesota Lynx are set to host the struggling Connecticut Sun at Target Center on Friday, May 23, at 7:30 PM ET. As the first week of the WNBA season wraps up, this matchup offers both excitement and betting potential. Minnesota enters at 3-0 behind a red-hot offense and standout play from Napheesa Collier. Meanwhile, Connecticut is still searching for its first win after two home losses. Sportsbooks favor the Lynx by double digits, with the total around 161 points, setting up a compelling contest.
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: Game Overview
The Lynx have blazed their way to a 3-0 start, averaging 91 points per game on 49.5% shooting while dishing a league-best 27 assists per outing. Napheesa Collier leads the early MVP race, averaging 28.3 points, 6 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game. She’s been unstoppable from both the mid-range and three-point line. Courtney Williams has thrived in the point guard role, handing out 8.7 assists per game, while Jessica Shepard has dominated in the paint with 9.3 rebounds per game and efficient 64.7% shooting.
Even without veteran sharpshooter Kayla McBride, who’s out for personal reasons, Minnesota continues to find success beyond the arc with 8.5 made threes per game. Defensively, the Lynx have been disruptive, forcing an average of 16 turnovers per game.
In contrast, the Sun’s season is off to a rocky start. They’re averaging just 73.5 points per game while allowing 88.5, with a shooting percentage stuck at 39.2%. Veteran big Tina Charles has done her part, posting 21.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game, but the rest of the roster has struggled. The absence of rookie Aneesah Morrow due to a knee injury leaves Connecticut thin, with only nine healthy players in the rotation. While coach Rachid Meziane preaches ball movement, the offense has sputtered, connecting on just three three-pointers per game—worst in the league.
Tactically, the tempo will play a critical role. Minnesota excels in transition, using ball movement and off-ball action to create scoring chances. Connecticut, on the other hand, slows things down and runs the offense through Charles in the post. Minnesota’s defensive switching will likely aim to deny Charles easy looks, forcing Sun guards to step up from the perimeter. Rebounding could be Connecticut’s best bet for competing—they collect nine offensive boards per game compared to Minnesota’s 6.5.
Betting Insights
– Spread: Lynx -15.5
– Moneyline: Lynx -1700, Sun +950
– Total Points: 161 (evenly juiced at -110)
Trends to Watch:
– Minnesota is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in 2025 and 4-1 over its last five games overall.
– Connecticut is 0-2 ATS this season and just 2-6 ATS dating back to last year’s playoffs.
– Two of Minnesota’s games have gone Over, while both of Connecticut’s games have stayed Under due to offensive inconsistency.
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Prediction: Sun vs. Lynx
Minnesota has all the momentum, roster depth, and perimeter shooting. Collier is playing at an elite level, and the Lynx’s fast-paced offense—anchored by Williams and supported by reliable contributions off the bench—presents a serious challenge for the Sun. Connecticut’s half-court approach and poor spacing allow defenses to collapse on Charles, knowing there’s minimal perimeter threat.
For Connecticut to stay competitive, they’ll need to slow the pace, dominate the glass, and get to the free-throw line frequently. But Minnesota’s disciplined defense has allowed just 18 free-throw attempts per game and minimizes transition opportunities by limiting turnovers.
Unless Tina Charles delivers a monster performance and the Sun guards catch fire from deep, it’s hard to see this game going their way.
– Best Bet: Lynx -14.5
– Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 92, Connecticut 71
The numbers, trends, and team dynamics all point in favor of a comfortable Minnesota win.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com