The Seattle Storm (10–6) make the short trip to San Francisco to take on the Golden State Valkyries (8–7) on Sunday, June 29 at 8:30 PM ET. Seattle has a winning record this season, as expected. But the Valkyries have blown our collective minds this year, posting a winning record so far in their first season as a franchise. Here, we decide if the Valkyries can continue their winning ways and make our Storm vs Valkyries prediction from San Francisco.
Our Storm vs Valkyries Prediction
- Pick: Valkyries +4.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 29, 2025, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| SEA -4.5 | SEA -198 / GSV +164 | 157.5 |
Key Storylines
- Form Heat Check: Skylar Diggins is back to All‑Star form (19 PPG, 6.1 APG). Nneka Ogwumike and Ezi Magbegor anchor a top‑tier defense. GSV has won three of their last four at home, featuring Kayla Thornton’s scoring (15.9 PPG) and Veronica Burton’s ball distribution (5.2 APG).
- Rest & Travel: Seattle is on the road after a three-game homestand. Golden State is playing its fifth consecutive home game.
- Playoff Push: Both teams are in the top six in the WNBA standings. Seattle is in fifth place going into Sunday at 10-6. Golden State is in sixth place at 8-7.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
The Valkyries claimed the lone regular‑season showdown on June 14, beating Seattle 76–70. Golden State won outright as an underdog in that game. Both teams have been excellent against the spread this year. Seattle is 9-7 ATS, while the Valkyries are a league-best 10-5 against the spread. The Storm are 10-6 to the over on the season, while the Valkyries are 9-6 to the under.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive Rating: Seattle ranks 5th in offensive rating, Golden State is 10th.
- Defensive Rating: Storm sit 6th in defensive rating, Valkyries are 4th.
- Pace: Seattle is 7th in the WNBA in tempo while Golden State plays slightly slower.
- Potential Mismatches: In the paint, Magbegor and Ogwumike can dominate Thornton and the frontcourt of the Valkyries.
Seattle Storm vs Golden State Valkyries Model Projection
Score Projection: Seattle Storm 80 – Golden State Valkyries 76
Win Probability: Seattle 75%, Golden State 25%
Final Thoughts
In my opinion, the Storm should be able to get a win to avenge their loss to the Valkyries from earlier in the season. But I will take the points with Golden State in this contest. They have the best home-court advantage in the WNBA, routinely selling out Chase Center. That crowd support will help the Valkyries stay in this game throughout, and I can’t rule out the Valkyries getting another home win over Seattle here.
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- Source: https://ats.io/wnba/seattle-storm-vs-golden-state-valkyries-prediction-odds-picks-june-29-2025/427810/