Spencer Turnbull Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 125

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Chicago White Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Teel, Luis Robert Jr., Ryan Noda).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Spencer Turnbull will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.

Spencer Turnbull’s 2498.7-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 93rd percentile among all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Turnbull in the 24th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Spencer Turnbull to have a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 80 pitches.

The Chicago White Sox have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Turnbull in this game.

Spencer Turnbull’s 91.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Given the 2.01 difference between Spencer Turnbull’s 9.21 K/9 and his 7.20 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.

Spencer Turnbull is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in today’s game.