– Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, and Taylor Fritz will play at Wimbledon on Friday.
– On the women’s side, Madison Keys, a top American contender, will face Laura Siegemund.
– Below are my top Wimbledon picks and predictions.
With Coco Gauff out in the first round, American chances at Wimbledon diminished significantly. Entering day five on Friday, Madison Keys (+1400) has the best title odds among U.S. players, while Taylor Fritz (+2000) leads the American men.
Both Keys and Fritz compete Friday; Keys will play against 37-year-old German Laura Siegemund, and Fritz will face 26-year-old Spaniard Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, with whom he shares a 3-3 career match record.
For my favorite Wimbledon picks and predictions for July 4th, see the table below, listing the best odds from sportsbooks for each choice.
Wimbledon Picks & Predictions (July 4th)
Fritz vs Davidovich Fokina Pick
Their head-to-head is balanced at three wins each from six matches. Fritz recently won against Davidovich Fokina in Eastbourne, 6-3, 3-6, 6-1.
Fritz has spent considerable time on court at Wimbledon, with five-setters in both the first round against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and the second round against Gabriel Diallo.
In his last seven matches, Fritz has gone 6-1 straight-up, with only one straight-sets win against Jenson Brooksby in the Eastbourne final.
Davidovich Fokina’s past upset over Fritz at Delray Beach showed how challenging it is to defeat him quickly. Despite Fritz’s fatigue, the Spaniard is unlikely to win swiftly. However, Fritz’s long matches could influence the outcome. Davidovich Fokina, known for lengthy rallies, may push this match over 38.5 games, and I see value in him as a +290 underdog at FanDuel, given his past success against Fritz.
Jarry vs Fonseca Prediction
Nicolas Jarry, who ended 2023 in the top 20, fell to 143 after a tough clay season and a two-month break. The Chilean has rallied, winning five straight matches, four in straight sets.
His comeback includes an underdog victory over world #8 Holger Rune after a 0-2 set deficit, aided by Rune’s knee issues. Jarry’s other decisive wins, like against Lerner Tien, highlight his form.
Joao Fonseca, 18 and ranked #54, also poses a strong challenge. He won all 15 service games in a straight-sets victory over Jacob Fearnley, saving all break points faced.
This match promises lengthy sets and few break points. I expect 12 holds and a tiebreak in the first set, which offers value at +200 (33.3% implied probability) on bet365.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV).
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com