Saturday’s football tips: PSG look good value at 5/4 against Bayern Munich’s leaky defence

Fahad Umar
July 4, 2025
1:17 pm

There’s two heavyweight bouts at the Club World Cup tonight as the European giants slug it out for a place in the semi-finals.

Paris St-Germain are now favourites to go all the way in America this summer after their ruthless demolition of Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami in the last 16.

But they have a tough path to the final, with tonight’s quarter-final against Bayern Munich followed by a clash against either Real Madrid or Borussia Dortmund.

Paris St-Germain vs Bayern Munich top betting tips

PSG proved they are the best team in Europe by romping to Champions League glory and their only slip up so far in America came against Brazilians Botafogo, a team who parked the bus.

Bayern’s Vincent Kompany isn’t the kind of boss who tells his team to sit back so the German champions are likely to slug it out with PSG instead.

That could play into the French team’s hands so the 5/4 on offer at BoyleSports for Paris St-Germain to win inside 90 minutes looks good value.

Bayern have already lost to Benfica at these finals and conceded twice against Flamengo in their last-16 win. That suggests their defence will find it had to keep PSG’s lively attack at bay and Luis Enrique’s side are 7/4 to score in both halves.

Bayern have plenty of firepower themselves and winger Serge Gnabry looks worth a punt for a shot on target at 21/20 with Unibet if he starts.

Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund

Real Madrid have been ticking along nicely so far under new boss Xabi Alonso and showed steel instead of style as they ground out a 1-0 win over Juventus in the last 16.

They now face a Borussia Dortmund side who have been steady if unspectacular at this tournament and BoyleSports make the Spanish giants 3/10 hot favourites to go through.

Kylian Mbappe made his long-awaited return from illness off the bench against Juve but looked pretty sluggish so Alonso might start him on the bench again.

It would certainly be harsh to drop stand-in Gonzalo Garcia after netting three goals in four games. The youngster should either start or get half an hour off the bench as Mbappe tires so he could be worth a punt to score again at 11/10 with BoyleSports.

This one should be keenly contested so the foul market is worth a look too. Aurelien Tchouameni always gets stuck in for Real and he’s 23/10 at Paddy Power for over 1.5 fouls. Doubling that up with over 1.5 fouls for Dortmund wing-back Julian Ryerson boots the odds to 629/100.

France Women vs England Women

There’s also a clash of the titans at the women’s European Championships tonight as holders England take on France in their Group D opener.

These sides faced off in the qualifying campaign and it was France who topped the group, pipping the Lionesses by a point. But the head-to-head ended level, with both nations claiming 2-1 wins on the road.

In a tough group that also contains the Netherlands, neither side will want to lose the first game so it could pay to back a tight and tense match. The half-time draw looks good at 20/21 with BoyleSports while backing most goals to come after the break is a little bigger at evens.

Neither of those games in the qualifiers produced a lot of corners, with just 13 in total across the two meetings, so that makes under 8.5 flag kicks appealing tonight at 7/5 with BoyleSports.

Wales Women vs Netherlands Women

Wales are gracing the Euro finals for the first time but it’s hard to see them making much of an impact after landing in a group of death.

All of their opponents in Group D are inside the top 11 in the FIFA world rankings so it wouldn’t be much of a surprise if the Welsh suffered three defeats this summer.

BoyleSports make the Netherlands 1/5 favourites tonight so it’s tough finding value in this one. With this being Wales’ first game at a major finals, I’d imagine their players will be fired up to make an impact.

That makes the card markets a good option and the evens on offer at Bet365 for Wales to pick up most cards looks well worth a punt. The same firm also offer 11/8 on over 2.5 match cards.