The Detroit Tigers will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in a three-game interleague series starting Monday night at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. Paul Skenes is set to pitch for the Pirates. The big question is whether the Pirates can provide enough run support to secure a win for Skenes this year. I’m here to offer my Tigers vs Pirates prediction.
Our Tigers vs Pirates Pick
– Pick: Detroit Tigers moneyline
– Confidence: ★★★½
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Game Snapshot
– Matchup: Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
– Date & Time: Monday, July 21, 2025, 6:40 p.m. ET
– Starting Pitchers: Jack Flaherty vs Paul Skenes
– Stadium: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
– Broadcast: SportsNet PT and FDSDET
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
– Jack Flaherty: Flaherty enters this game at 5-9 with a 4.65 ERA. He’ll need his best performance for the Tigers to defeat Skenes and the Pirates.
– Paul Skenes: Skenes has been exceptional with a 4-8 record and a 2.01 ERA. However, the Pirates’ lack of run support has impacted his win-loss record.
Bullpen Usage
The Pirates have a slightly better bullpen ERA than the Tigers this season. This might be surprising given the Tigers’ superior season record. In a close game, keep in mind that both bullpens are closely matched.
Recent Team Streaks
– Pirates: Pittsburgh has lost three consecutively and four of their last five games.
– Tigers: Detroit is 1-4 in their last five games, with a recent win against the Texas Rangers on Sunday Night Baseball.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|——————-|——————–|
| Riley Greene (DET)| Over 1.5 total bases|
| Riley Greene | 1+ Home run |
| Jack Flaherty | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
– The Tigers are 2-1 against the Pirates this season.
– The Tigers are 28-22 on the road, while the Pirates are 26-24 at home.
– Detroit is the first MLB team to achieve 60 wins in the 2025 season.
Tigers vs Pirates Model Projection
– Score Projection: Detroit 4 – Pittsburgh 3
– Win Probability: Detroit 48%, Pittsburgh 52%
Final Thoughts
Paul Skenes is undoubtedly the standout pitcher in this matchup. However, the Pirates’ lack of offensive support makes betting on Skenes risky. Instead, I opt to bet on the Tigers as slight road underdogs. Detroit is superior in most areas and should withstand Skenes early on, securing a second consecutive victory later in the game.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com