The Detroit Tigers are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates in a three-game interleague series beginning Monday night at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. On the mound for the Pirates will be Paul Skenes. The question remains if Skenes will receive enough run support to secure a victory for the Pirates this year. Here, I offer my prediction for the Tigers vs. Pirates clash.
Our Tigers vs. Pirates Pick
– Pick: Detroit Tigers moneyline
– Confidence: ★★★½
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Game Snapshot
– Matchup: Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
– Date & Time: Monday, July 21, 2025, 6:40 p.m. ET
– Starting Pitchers: Jack Flaherty vs. Paul Skenes
– Stadium: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
– Broadcast: SportsNet PT and FDSDET
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
– Jack Flaherty: Flaherty comes into this game with a 5-9 record and a 4.65 ERA. He must deliver a strong performance for the Tigers to beat Skenes and the Pirates.
– Paul Skenes: Skenes has excelled this season, boasting a 4-8 record with a 2.01 ERA. However, due to insufficient run support from the Pirates, Skenes hasn’t achieved the wins his stats suggest he deserves.
Bullpen Usage
The Pirates have a slightly better bullpen ERA this season compared to the Tigers. Considering that the Tigers have a superior record, this is surprising. Should the game remain close, keep in mind that these bullpens are evenly matched.
Recent Team Streaks
– Pirates: Pittsburgh has lost three straight and four of their last five games.
– Tigers: Detroit is 1-4 in their last five games, but recently triumphed over the Texas Rangers on Sunday Night Baseball.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|—————–|———————–|
| Riley Greene (DET) | Over 1.5 total bases |
| Riley Greene | 1+ Home run |
| Jack Flaherty | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
– The Tigers lead 2-1 against the Pirates this season.
– Detroit holds a 28-22 road record, while Pittsburgh is 26-24 at home.
– The Tigers are the first MLB team to reach 60 wins in the 2025 season.
Tigers vs. Pirates Model Projection
– Score Projection: Detroit 4 – Pittsburgh 3
– Win Probability: Detroit 48%, Pittsburgh 52%
Final Thoughts
Paul Skenes stands out as the top pitcher in this game, but the Pirates’ lack of offensive support makes backing Skenes risky. I recommend betting on the Tigers as slight underdogs on the road. The Tigers excel in most areas and should manage to withstand the challenge of Skenes early, eventually securing a second consecutive win.
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