This Sunday, the Phoenix Mercury (7-4) travel to face the Las Vegas Aces (5-4) in the Commissioner’s Cup, a matchup intensified by the health status of key players on both sides. Both teams have recent victories, but the conditions of Las Vegas’s A’ja Wilson and Phoenix’s Kahleah Copper could be decisive. We analyze this Western Conference battle and provide our Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Our Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Pick
- Spread: Mercury -2.5
- Total: Over 163.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 15, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Bet Type | Line |
|---|---|
| Spread | Mercury –2.5 |
| Moneyline | Aces +124, Mercury -152 |
| Total | 163.5 |
Key Storylines
- A’ja Wilson’s status: Entering concussion protocol after Vegas’ game on Wednesday, Wilson will miss Sunday’s matchup. She was absent on Friday as the Aces narrowly defeated the Dallas Wings.
- Kahleah Copper’s return: Copper is set to return earlier than expected after knee arthroscopy. Last season, she averaged 21.1 PPG, and her presence should boost Phoenix’s offense.
- Mercury defense: Alyssa Thomas’s recent return has enhanced rebounding, hustle plays, and interior defense, vital with Wilson out for Vegas.
- Aces resilience: Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray, and Jewell Loyd must step up from the perimeter to cover for Wilson’s absence, a task they managed against the Wings.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first 2025 meeting for these teams, marking Loyd’s debut against Phoenix as an Ace.
- Last five: Both teams hold a 3-2 record in their last five games, each winning their most recent outings against the Wings.
- Spread trends: The Aces are
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