Old Dominion vs. UL Monroe Prediction & Pick – 11/1/2025 – SCCG Management

The Old Dominion Monarchs (5-3, 2-2 in the Sun Belt) are set to face the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-5, 1-3 in the Sun Belt) on Saturday. The Monarchs bring a strong offensive lineup ranked among the nation’s best, while the Warhawks aim to snap a losing streak by defeating the Monarchs on their home turf. Stay tuned for my Old Dominion vs UL Monroe prediction before this college football game kicks off.

Our Old Dominion vs UL Monroe Pick

• Pick: Old Dominion −16.5
• Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Old Dominion Monarchs vs UL Monroe Warhawks
• Date & Time: Saturday, November 1, 2025, 3:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: JPS Field at Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
• Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

The Monarchs have executed their offense impressively this season. Averaging 32.0 points and approximately 460 yards of total offense per game, they rank among the top 25 nationally in key offensive statistics. Quarterback Colton Joseph has accumulated 2,000 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, over 500 rushing yards, and six rushing touchdowns.

The UL Monroe Warhawks are struggling. They average only 17.3 points while allowing over 33 points per game. With four consecutive losses, they are eager to change their fortunes in this matchup.

UL Monroe faces challenges offensively, ranking near the bottom in FBS for passing yards per game (150.6) and overall offense (324 yards per game). They will focus on their rushing game (173.3 rushing yards per game) and aim to disrupt ODU’s rhythm by minimizing possessions.

Quarterback Play

ODU has a clear advantage in quarterback play. Colton Joseph has shown remarkable skill both in passing and rushing, especially within the Sun Belt. On the other hand, UL Monroe’s quarterback situation is less stable. Aidan Armenta had started previously, but Landon Graves struggled at quarterback during their recent loss to Southern Miss.

Betting Trends

• Old Dominion is 4-4 against the spread this season.
• UL Monroe has covered the spread twice in their first eight games.
• The Warhawks are 5-3 to the over going into this matchup.
• Old Dominion is 4-4 on over/unders leading up to this contest

Old Dominion vs UL Monroe Model Projection

Score Projection: Old Dominion 38 – UL Monroe 17

Win Probability: Old Dominion 88%, UL Monroe 12%

Final Thoughts

While there’s temptation to back UL Monroe as a home underdog to cover the spread, the offensive imbalance favors Old Dominion, leaving me inclined to side with the Monarchs. Expect a strong performance from Colton Joseph as the Monarchs aim to improve to 3-2 in Sun Belt play.