The NFL schedule spans four days this holiday weekend with several intriguing matchups in Week 13. Three games will be played tomorrow as Americans celebrate friends, food, and football. Black Friday features an afternoon special in Philadelphia, and the week concludes with the New York Giants on Monday Night Football.
If you’re making picks for a survivor pool, here are three games over the next few days to watch. With three wins in Week 12, my record is now 25 wins and 11 losses this season.
Kansas City Chiefs (at Dallas Cowboys)
Kansas City survived a tough overtime test against the Indianapolis Colts to keep their postseason hopes alive. Patrick Mahomes, known for his late-season prowess, boasts a 26-6 record in the final month of the year. The cold-weather surge from the Chiefs’ star QB means trouble for the rest of the NFL. Kansas City is expected to deliver a win as Andy Reid showcases talent on Thanksgiving Day.
Dallas, fresh from a massive 24-point comeback over the Philadelphia Eagles, could stay competitive if Dak Prescott and George Pickens secure another 140+ yard performance. Kansas City remains a significant favorite with a 64% chance of victory according to ESPN Analytics.
Philadelphia Eagles (vs. Chicago Bears)
The Eagles rarely lose at home with a 12-2 record at Lincoln Financial Field since 2024. Despite an 8-3 record, their offense has struggled, but Jalen Hurts could exploit the Bears’ 27th-ranked defense, which allows an average of 362 yards per game.
Chicago is on a four-game win streak, narrowly edging out Cincinnati, New York Giants, Minnesota, and Pittsburgh. Caleb Williams has created opportunities for the team despite a weak defense. Williams will need to perform well on Black Friday before facing the Green Bay Packers in Week 14. Philadelphia is a heavy favorite with a 68% chance of victory.
New England Patriots (vs. New York Giants)
The Patriots aim for a 10th consecutive win for the first time since 2015 when they host New York on Monday Night Football. Drake Maye leads the NFL with 3,130 passing yards against a Giants defense that ranks 23rd, allowing an average of 227.8 yards per game.
Jaxson Dart is expected back from concussion for New York, but it may not be enough to cause an upset. With the Giants already out of playoff contention, their focus turns to preparing for the 2026 season. New England is favored with a 56% chance to win according to ESPN Analytics.
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