The New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets will face off at Ball Arena in Denver on Wednesday night. The Nuggets go into this game as the biggest favorite in the NBA on Wednesday. They will try to avoid slipping up against the winless Pelicans here. Before this matchup tips off in the Mile High City, continue reading to get my breakdown of this game, including my Pelicans vs Nuggets prediction.
Our Pelicans vs Nuggets Pick
- Pick: Denver Nuggets ‑2.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New Orleans Pelicans @ Denver Nuggets
- Date & Time: Wednesday, October 29, 2025, 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- The Pelicans are limping into this one with several key absences. Zion Williamson (foot) is day‑to‑day and missed the previous game for New Orleans. Dejounte Murray (Achilles) and Kevon Looney (knee) are also confirmed as out. New Orleans’ depth is already thin and injuries are set to make things worse.
- The Nuggets enter healthy and playing well. Nikola Jokic is coming off another triple‑double of 25 points, 19 boards, and 10 assists. He and Jamal Murray are playing some of their best basketball and will try to continue to do that against one of the worst teams in the league.
- Denver’s offense is humming going into this game. They’re averaging 130.3 points per game, shooting 52.4% from the floor, and executing at a high level despite making some major changes over the last six months or so.
- Denver is at home, where they are 1-0 to start the season. New Orleans lost their only road game of the season and they could struggle with the elevation in Denver on top of all their other issues this year.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- The Nuggets won three of the four games between these teams last season. This is their first meeting of the 2025-26 season.
- Denver is 2-1 against the spread coming into tonight’s game.
- New Orleans is 0-2-1 against the spread going into this contest.
- New Orleans has gone 2-1 to the over entering this matchup.
- Denver has gone over the total in each of their first three games of the season.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | Triple-Double |
| Jamal Murray | Over 23.5 points |
| Zion Williamson | Under 24.5 points |
Pelicans vs Nuggets Model Projection
Score Projection: Pelicans 104 – Nuggets 118
Win Probability: Pelicans 25%, Nuggets 75%
Final Thoughts
The Nuggets should continue rolling at the expense of the New Orleans Pelicans in this contest on Wednesday night. New Orleans’ defense has been atrocious and they lack the scoring depth to make up for that glaring flaw in their game. We should see the Nuggets win and cover the spread at home, with Jokic being a candidate to put together another triple-double. I’ll lay the points with Denver confidently here.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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- Source: https://ats.io/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-vs-denver-nuggets-prediction-10-29-2025/473002/