Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Prediction – 11/6/2025 – SCCG Management

The Denver Broncos are set to face the Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday Night Football, marking the start of Week 10 in the NFL season. The two teams find themselves at opposite ends of the AFC West standings. The Broncos currently lead the division and are enjoying a hot streak. Meanwhile, the Raiders sit at the bottom, eager to break their losing streak. Read on for my prediction for the Raiders vs Broncos game before the kickoff in the Mile High City.

Our Raiders vs Broncos Pick

• Pick: Broncos -9.5
• Confidence: 3/5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos
• Date & Time: Thursday, November 6, 2025, 8:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
• Broadcast: Prime Video

Key Storylines

• The Broncos boast a 7-2 record and six consecutive wins. They are undefeated at home this season with a 4-0 record and seem poised to maintain their AFC West lead over the Kansas City Chiefs with another potential win.
• The Raiders, at 2-6, have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road where they are 1-3. Turnovers have plagued them throughout the season.
• The Raiders recently lost an overtime match 30-29 to the Jacksonville Jaguars and now face the challenge of playing the Broncos, one of the league’s hottest teams, on a short week. This could spell trouble for Las Vegas.
• This divisional matchup may appear lopsided on paper, but the familiarity between these teams always leaves room for surprises.

Quarterback Play

Broncos quarterback Bo Nix has been reliable and efficient, finishing drives with touchdowns. He has accumulated 1,976 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and six interceptions this season and is adept at making plays with his legs.

Raiders quarterback Geno Smith has had both highs and lows, struggling particularly with interceptions. Among starting quarterbacks, his efficiency ranks low, with 1,701 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, and a league-high 11 interceptions. The Raiders need Smith to improve ball security for a shot at victory.

Betting Trends

• The Broncos are 4-4-1 against the spread going into Week 10.
• The Raiders are 3-5 against the spread through their first eight games.
• Denver has gone under the total in six of its first nine games.
• The Raiders are 3-5 on their totals so far this season.

Raiders vs Broncos Model Projection

Score Projection: Raiders 10 – Broncos 27
Win Probability: Raiders 25%, Broncos 75%

Final Thoughts

The Las Vegas Raiders have been hindered by mistakes, making it difficult for them to compete effectively this season. Despite a respectable performance against the Jaguars, Geno Smith’s turnover issues make it unlikely they will keep up with the Broncos on the road during a short week. I’m inclined to side with Denver as we begin Week 10 of the NFL.