Game 2 of the first-round WNBA Playoffs series between the Las Vegas Aces and Seattle Storm will take place on Tuesday night in Seattle. The Aces took the lead in this best-of-three series with a dominant Game 1 win, extending their win streak to 17 games. With momentum on their side and Seattle in need of answers, Game 2 on Tuesday night provides a chance for Las Vegas to secure a sweep. Here, I break down whether or not I think that will happen with my Aces vs Storm Game 2 prediction.
Our Aces vs Storm Game 2 Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -4.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 16, 2025, 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ESPN
Aces vs Storm Game 2 Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -4.5 | Aces -200, Storm +165 | 161 |
Key Storylines
- The Aces are riding a 17-game win streak and used Game 1 to show their full strength. They outmatched Seattle in nearly every key statistical category. Key contributors like A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Jewell Loyd, and Dana Evans all played well. Wilson had 29 points in Game 1 and will look to lead her team to another win here.
- Seattle’s offensive struggles in Game 1 were alarming. They scored just 12 points in the first quarter and trailed 45-25 at halftime. Their defense was strong in the regular season, but Las Vegas’ offensive firepower may stretch Seattle’s schemes too thin.
- The Storm had a losing record at home during the regular season and will try to steal a game in the Pacific Northwest to keep this series going.
- Las Vegas can close out the series on the road, which is always harder, but their confidence is extremely high right now. Seattle must find offensive cohesion and get hot from three to stay alive.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past meetings: The two teams split their regular-season series 2-2. The Aces took a 3-2 lead in the overall season series with Sunday’s blowout win.
- ATS & O/U results: In Game 1, Las Vegas covered the spread as a favorite. The game went over the total with 179 total points scored against a total of 162.5.
- Home/road splits: The Aces went 13-9 on the road during the regular season. Seattle is 10-12 at home.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Aces had the best offensive rating of any team in the opening set of playoff games on Sunday. Seattle ranked fourth in that category of the eight teams that played, but that wasn’t enough to avoid a blowout loss.
- This game was played at the second-fastest pace of Sunday’s four WNBA playoff games. Expect Seattle to try and slow things down to neutralize the offensive efficiency of the Aces.
Aces vs Storm Game 2 Model Projection
Score Projection: Seattle Storm 80 – Las Vegas Aces 90
Win Probability: Las Vegas Aces 72%, Seattle Storm 28%
Final Thoughts
Seattle is at home for this game. But I don’t think that is going to be enough for them to stay competitive here. The Aces are playing the best basketball of any team in the league right now and they should win, cover the spread as a favorite, and advance to the semifinals on Tuesday night.
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- Source: https://ats.io/wnba/las-vegas-aces-vs-seattle-storm-game-2-prediction-9-16-2025/466969/