Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -165
Strikeouts 3.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Harrison in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Nationals Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.
Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the least humidity of all games on the slate today at 36%.
Kyle Harrison will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing hitters in today’s game.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kyle Harrison to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.
Given that groundball batters hold a sizeable advantage over flyball pitchers, Kyle Harrison and his 37.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position today facing 5 opposing GB bats.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Harrison today.
Kyle Harrison’s 2205.5-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Harrison has utilized his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 57.7% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Kyle Harrison is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in today’s game.
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- Source: https://ats.io/mlb/props/kyle-harrison-10011533/391144/