Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: 124
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -158
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Seattle Mariners have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dylan Moore, Mitch Garver, Cal Raleigh).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
T-Mobile Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Jose Urena’s 95.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Urena in the 2nd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jose Urena is projected to throw 80 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) behind the plate in this game.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Jose Urena (45.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Seattle’s projected batting order.
Jose Urena is projected to have 3.2 Strikeouts in today’s game.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: https://ats.io/mlb/props/jose-urena-10003284/385704/