Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction – 8/24/2025

The Minnesota Lynx defeated the Indiana Fever on Friday night and those two teams will face off again on Sunday night in Minneapolis. The Lynx are closing in on the top seed in the WNBA playoffs this year and the Fever are still trying to solidify their place in the postseason. Before these two teams go at it for the second time in three days, continue reading to get my Fever vs Lynx prediction for Sunday.

Our Fever vs Lynx Pick

• Pick: Minnesota Lynx -9.5
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx
• Date & Time: August 24, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
• Broadcast: CBS Sports Network

Fever vs Lynx Odds

Key Storylines

• Indiana is still missing star guard Caitlin Clark due to a groin injury.
• The Fever’s backcourt is severely depleted. Sophie Cunningham, Sydney Colson, and Aari McDonald are all out for the season in addition to the absence of Clark.
• Minnesota may still be without Napheesa Collier due to an ankle issue.
• The Lynx beat the Fever convincingly on Friday thanks to an unexpected triple-double from Minnesota role player Jessica Shepard. Shepard is likely to regress to her typical level of performance in this game and the question is whether the Fever can prevent the rest of the Lynx from doing enough to win big here.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• Minnesota’s 95-90 win over Indiana was the first meeting between these teams during the 2025 regular season.
• The Fever defeated the Lynx in the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup final earlier this season. That game did not count toward the regular season metrics for either team but these teams are 1-1 against each other in all games they have played.
• The over/under is 1-1 in games played between these teams this season. The Commissioner’s Cup final stayed well under its total and Friday’s game went well over the total.
• Minnesota was a 5.5-point favorite on the road going into Friday’s game in Indiana and they are favored by 9.5 at home here.

Advanced Metrics & Trends

• Minnesota is still number one in the WNBA in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating.
• Indiana ranks fifth in the league in offensive rating and eighth in defensive rating.
• The Fever are fifth in the WNBA in pace and the Lynx rank 10th in that department out of 13 WNBA teams. Indiana will try to speed the Lynx up to make them uncomfortable. But the Lynx are well-coached and aren’t likely to struggle with any pace they face.

Fever vs Lynx Model Projection

Score Projection: Minnesota Lynx 95 – Indiana Fever 80

Win Probability: Minnesota Lynx 69%, Indiana Fever 31%

Final Thoughts

The Lynx could have Napheesa Collier back from injury for this game. But even if Collier doesn’t suit up for the Lynx, I still expect Minnesota to win by double-digits at home. Indiana’s suspect defense should struggle against the weapons that Minnesota does have on the floor and the Lynx should once again get some payback for the Commissioner’s Cup final.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.

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• Source: https://ats.io/wnba/indiana-fever-vs-minnesota-lynx-prediction-8-24-2025/463441/