George Kirby Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Fahad Umar
May 22, 2025
2:20 am

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -175

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #5 park in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

George Kirby will have the handedness advantage against 9 opposing bats today.

Because groundball pitchers hold a notable advantage over groundball bats, George Kirby and his 43.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today’s game going up against 2 opposing GB bats.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects George Kirby to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Houston Astros with a 20.9% underlying K%.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

George Kirby will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. George Kirby has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 57.6% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

George Kirby is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today’s game.