Gabriella Fernandes and Julija Stoliarenko will face off in the UFC women’s bantamweight division on Saturday night in Las Vegas. Fernandes is a huge favorite as she looks to move closer to the top 15 rankings in her division. Before this fight begins in this weekend’s prelims, you can keep reading to get my Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko prediction.
Our Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko Pick
- Pick: Gabriella Fernandes by submission
- Confidence: 3/5
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Tale of the Tape
| Gabriella Fernandes | Julija Stoliarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Reach | 66″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Pro MMA Record | 10‑3‑0 | 11‑9‑2 |
Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko Preview
Gabriella Fernandes has a 10‑3 professional record and rides a two‑fight win streak in the UFC’s bantamweight division. She most recently got a submission win over a fighter in Wang Cong who is currently ranked in the bantamweight division. The unranked Fernandes could make a legitimate case to be in the top 15 if she can get a win in this fight.
Julija Stoliarenko is a seasoned veteran in women’s MMA. She has been fighting in UFC since 2020 and is 2-5 in the promotion. She took a loss in her last fight by knockout against Luana Carolina in February of 2024. Stoliarenko will need to be better with her defending to avoid a second consecutive stoppage loss in this matchup.
Fernandes’ path to victory likely relies on wrestling control and draining the energy from the more experienced Stoliarenko. Stoliarenko must avoid being kept at bay. Her best chance lies in dragging Fernandes into takedowns where she can hunt for an armbar or choke. Whichever fighter can win the grappling battle in this fight could run away with it in a hurry.
Betting Insights
- Fernandes is a -440 favorite to get the win in this fight. Stoliarenko is a +340 underdog.
- The over/under for this fight is set at 2.5 rounds. The under is the favorite at -175 and the over is +135.
- Stoliarenko has seen four straight fights end inside the distance. She is 2-2 in those fights.
- Three of Fernandes’ four UFC fights have gone to decisions.
Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko Prediction
Both of these fighters will be hunting for a submission victory in this matchup. Fernandes is a more well-rounded fighter and would be better in striking exchanges. But I think both fighters try to get their opponent to the ground to try and grab an impressive finish.
I think Fernandes will be the fighter that secures that finish. She is trending in the right direction and secured her first stoppage win in UFC in her last fight. I think she will get a second straight submission win here and Stoliarenko will see her struggles continue.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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- Source: https://ats.io/mma/gabriella-fernandes-vs-julija-stoliarenko-prediction/461783/