French Open Picks & Predictions for Friday, May 30: Tiafoe vs. Korda & More – SCCG Management

Fahad Umar
May 29, 2025
2:52 pm

Third-round matches on the men’s side at the French Open this Friday
A notable all-American matchup: Frances Tiafoe vs. Sebastian Korda
Below are my predictions for Tiafoe vs. Korda and other third-round men’s matches

A spot in the fourth round of the French Open is at stake as Americans Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda face off at Roland Garros. It’s their seventh meeting, with both players having won three matches each.

This is part of a busy day of third-round matches for the men, starting at 5 am ET. TNT will broadcast in the United States, while TSN will cover it in Canada.

Here are the odds, picks, and predictions for the men’s 3rd Round action at the French Open.

French Open Picks & Predictions (Friday, May 30)

Odds as of May 30 at Caesars. Check out SBD’s Caesars Sportsbook review for available sign-up bonuses.

Frances Tiafoe vs. Sebastian Korda Prediction

Pick: Over 40.5 games (-110)

Sebastian Korda has dominated this matchup recently, winning the last three meetings and dropping just one set to Frances Tiafoe.

However, Tiafoe claimed their only previous clay-court meeting in a three-set match back in 2022.

Tiafoe vs. Korda Head-to-Head Results

Tiafoe has had smooth victories in his first two matches, winning straight sets against Roman Safiullin and Pablo Carreno Busta. Despite this, his season hasn’t started off strong.

Except for reaching the Final at the US Men’s Clay Court Championship, Tiafoe has advanced past the second round just once.

Korda hasn’t had much success either: since reaching the final at the Adelaide International earlier this year, he only has one quarterfinal appearance in nine tournaments.

One player will advance, but it will be a tough battle.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Mariano Navone Prediction

Pick: Navone +7.5 games (+500)

There’s a chance this match could be closer than expected.

Lorenzo Musetti has been consistent on clay, reaching the semifinals in Rome and Madrid, and the Monte Carlo final. The eighth-ranked player in Paris looks set for another deep run.

How can 24-year-old Argentine Mariano Navone stay close?

Navone has struggled this year, often exiting in the second round, but did overcome no. 28 Brandon Nakashima in four sets in the 1st Round.

Navone is 1-1 against Musetti, winning in straight sets at last year’s Cagliari Tournament on clay, 7-5, 6-1.

Musetti will likely advance, but Navone might keep it competitive.

Holger Rune vs. Quentin Halys Prediction

Pick: Over 35.5 games (-120)

Since his victory at the Barcelona Open in April, beating Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets, Holger Rune has faced early exits.

He didn’t get past the Round 3 in Madrid or Rome, and while he has won both matches at Roland Garros, he needed four sets against Roberto Agut and a tiebreaker against Emilio Nava.

Quentin Halys progressed past Round 1 when Tomas Machac retired, then needed four sets to defeat Miomir Kecmanovic. He’s aiming for his first advancement past the 3rd Round since Dubai, where he lost in the semifinals.

This is only their second meeting. Their previous 3rd Round match at Wimbledon 2024 was a long one, with Rune winning after a full set of games, surpassing Friday’s line.