Edson Barboza and Drakkar Klose both had winning streaks snapped in their most recent fights. They will take to the octagon at UFC 319 with the goal of avoiding a second loss in a row on Saturday night in Chicago. Before these lightweights fight in this prelim matchup, you can get my thoughts on the fight, along with my Edson Barboza vs Drakkar Klose prediction.
Our Edson Barboza vs Drakkar Klose Pick
- Pick: Edson Barboza by decision
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Tale of the Tape
| Edson Barboza | Drakkar Klose | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 39 | 37 |
| Reach | 75″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 24-12-0 | 15-3-1 |
Edson Barboza vs Drakkar Klose Preview
Edson Barboza remains a respected striker known for his arsenal of kicks. He lands just over four significant strikes per minute and is known for pushing the pace of his bouts. He lost his last fight to Lerone Murphy by decision in May of 2024. He will return to the octagon for the first time in over a year in this fight and he will look to prove that there is no rust after that long layoff from competition.
Drakkar Klose is a well-rounded fighter. He lands slightly more significant strikes per minute than Barboza at 4.33 per minute. He had a four-fight winning streak snapped in his last fight when he lost by first-round knockout to Joel Alvarez in December of 2024. Klose is at a reach disadvantage and he will need to figure out how to overcome that and get in close to neutralize Barboza’s striking capabilities.
Betting Insights
- Barboza is the favorite to win this fight at -142 and Klose is a +120 underdog.
- This fight has been set at a total of 2.5 rounds by DraftKings Sportsbook. The over is favored at -166 and the under is +130.
- Barboza has seen three of his last four fights go the distance.
- Four of Klose’s last six fights have been decided by knockout.
Edson Barboza vs Drakkar Klose Prediction
Barboza has the experience advantage and is the better striker going into this matchup. The big question will be whether or not Barboza will look like the same fighter that we have seen in the past. I don’t know that we necessarily get a vintage Edson Barboza performance here. But I do think that we get enough from Barboza to win this fight.
The Brazilian is no longer the kind of fighter that I expect to secure a win via finish. But he should do enough to get a decision here. I won’t hold his loss to Lerone Murphy against him given that Murphy is doing so well in UFC. Look for Barboza by decision to come in at plus money.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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- Source: https://ats.io/mma/edson-barboza-vs-drakkar-klose-prediction/462490/