Eagles vs. Giants Predictions | Best Bets, Picks & Player Props

Fahad Umar
October 9, 2025
1:05 pm

The reigning Super Bowl champions take the short trip to MetLife Stadium as the Philadelphia Eagles face the struggling New York Giants on Thursday Night Football. For tonight’s game, our Eagles vs. Giants predictions spotlight the defending champs’ momentum, Jalen Hurts’ touchdown potential, and how rookie QB Jaxson Dart might fare against one of the NFL’s most disciplined defenses.

Sports betting is inherently unpredictable. These NFL betting picks are based on current stats, injuries, and form, not guarantees.

Eagles vs. Giants TNF Match Overview

The Eagles enter Week 6 at 4-1, looking every bit like the defending Super Bowl champions. They’ve already picked up two road wins this season and continue to get balanced production from Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley, who faces his former team tonight.

Despite an upset loss to Denver last week, the Eagles’ offense still ranks among the most efficient in the league, powered by Hurts’ dual-threat ability and a +4 turnover margin. However, losing guard Landon Dickerson could expose the offensive line against the Giants’ pass rush.

The Giants, on the other hand, are 1-4 and struggling to find rhythm under rookie QB Jaxson Dart. They rank 28th in scoring and are missing key receivers Malik Nabers and Darius Slayton, leaving limited options on offense.

Their defense, led by Brian Burns and Bobby Okereke, can pressure the quarterback, but sustaining drives and keeping Hurts off the field will be a major challenge. Philadelphia has dominated this rivalry lately, winning four of the last five meetings.

Eagles to Cover the Spread -7.5

Model’s Fair Probability: 57%
Edge (+EV): +5.8%

The Eagles’ strong form and balanced offense make them a reliable favorite even on a short week. With Hurts protecting the football (7 TDs, 0 INTs) and Barkley facing his former team, Philadelphia should control both the tempo and field position.

The Giants’ limited offense gives them little margin for error, and with a rookie QB against one of the league’s best turnover-forcing defenses, this matchup heavily tilts toward the visitors. Expect Philly to win by multiple scores.

Under 40.5

Model’s Fair Probability: 62%
Edge (+EV): +10.8%

Short-week games like Thursday Night Football often lead to lower scoring, and this contest has all the signs of a grinder. The Giants have averaged under 20 points per game, while the Eagles may focus on the ground game to minimize offensive line pressure. With both defenses playing well in the red zone and the Giants missing key receivers, the Under 40.5 looks like one of the best bets tonight.

Jalen Hurts Anytime TD

Model’s Fair Probability: 80%
Edge (+EV): +23.5%

Hurts remains one of the most reliable player props in football when it comes to scoring on the ground. With four rushing touchdowns already this season and the Eagles often relying on the “Tush Push” near the goal line, this prop bet has strong value. Against a Giants defense that’s struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks, Hurts Anytime TD stands out as one of tonight’s top picks.

Jaxson Dart Under 177.5 Pass Yards

Model’s Fair Probability: 66%
Edge (+EV): +13.3%

The rookie Jaxson Dart faces his toughest test yet. Philadelphia’s secondary has been disciplined, and with the Giants’ top two receivers unavailable, Dart may struggle to find open targets. Expect New York to rely on short passes and the running game to avoid turnovers, limiting Dart’s overall yardage. The Under 177.5 passing yards line offers value given his limited supporting cast.

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