Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Predictions | UFC 323 Best Bets

Fahad Umar
December 6, 2025
2:57 pm

Merab Dvalishvili is trying to become the first UFC champion to defend a belt four times in a single year, a detail that shapes our Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Predictions and the UFC 323 Best Bets. His nonstop pace, added to Petr Yan’s counter-striking style, guides our approach for tonight and informs key picks such as Merab by Points and the fight going the distance. These choices fit well into UFC 323 betting predictions and UFC 323 parlays.

This card features title fights and several former champions, forming a strong foundation for UFC betting tonight. The main keyword Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Picks pairs with secondary elements like parlays, Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van, and best UFC bets tonight to round out the full betting preview.

*Sports betting is unpredictable, so these selections reflect analysis, not guarantees.

Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Predictions

Merab Dvalishvili enters this rematch on a historic 14-fight winning streak. Two months ago, he competed in the co-main event of UFC 320, where he won the Bantamweight title. His first meeting with Petr Yan was one-sided because of constant pressure, high-volume wrestling, and a UFC-record 49 takedown attempts. He has only increased his pace since then, and his elite cardio remains his biggest weapon. He defends the title for the fourth time this year, a factor that underscores both confidence and momentum.

Petr Yan brings a more technical striking profile and historically performs better in rematches. His accuracy, footwork, and defensive movement give him clear moments of control, but Merab’s pace removes the space that Yan needs to build combinations. Yan’s recent wins show strong form, but the matchup still leans toward Merab’s wrestling and conditioning.

Merab Dvalishvili to Win by Points

Merab wins most of his fights on the scorecards, and his style favors long stretches of ground control, constant pressure, and safe positioning. His takedown volume and ability to push a steady pace reduce Yan’s striking output. Yan is durable, and Merab rarely finishes opponents, which increases the likelihood of a decision win.

Fight to Go the Distance – Yes

Both fighters are durable and historically go the full five rounds. Yan absorbs damage well, and Merab’s style focuses on control rather than high-impact shots. Their first fight also went the distance. These factors support a long, high-pace bout.

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van Predictions

Alexandre Pantoja enters on an eight-fight winning streak with back-to-back title defenses by submission. His ground game remains the strongest in the flyweight division. Joshua Van brings record-setting striking volume and accuracy, but he absorbs many shots and has not faced a grappler of Pantoja’s level. The matchup leans toward Pantoja’s ability to create scrambles, take the back, and attack chokes.

Pantoja to Win by Submission

Pantoja averages one submission attempt per 15 minutes and converts at a high rate. His back-taking skill remains his core path to victory. Van’s strong takedown defense is promising, but his lack of submission threat and willingness to stay in close exchanges increase Pantoja’s opportunities.

Over 3.5 Rounds

Van’s pace is high, but his durability has held. Pantoja pushes a steady pace and often works methodically toward a submission. Both fighters have shown the ability to extend fights even in high-pressure situations, which supports the over.

UFC 323 Other Best Bets & Event Preview

Several non-title fights also offer betting value across tonight’s card. These options fit well into UFC 323 parlays and UFC betting strategies.

Brandon Moreno vs. Tatsuro Taira, Fight Over 2.5 Rounds
Henry Cejudo vs. Payton Talbott, Cejudo Takedowns 1+
Jan Blachowicz vs. Bogdan Guskov, Guskov to Win by KO/TKO

UFC 323 takes place at T-Mobile Arena and features two title fights, multiple former champions, and four ranked contenders. The event includes 14 total bouts across the Early Prelims, Prelims, and Main Card.

If you’re not sure where to place your UFC bet, check our guide where we compare US sportsbooks, specifically based on their UFC offerings.