The Denver Broncos will face the Houston Texans in Week 9 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. The Broncos enter this matchup on a five-game winning streak, while the Texans have won three of their last four games. Before the game starts in Houston, read on for my Broncos vs. Texans prediction.
Our Broncos vs Texans Pick
- Pick: Texans -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Denver Broncos @ Houston Texans
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 2, 2025, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
- Broadcast: FOX
Key Storylines
The Broncos’ defense remains a standout this season, ranking in the top five in the NFL for both yards and points allowed per game. Houston’s offensive line has had issues with both run and pass block win rates, giving Denver’s pass rush a real chance to shine. However, the Texans have improved lately, winning three of their last four matches.
Offensively, Denver has found its stride, scoring a total of 77 points in their last two games against the Giants and Cowboys. They aim to deliver a similar performance against a Texans defense that is tougher than those in New York and Dallas.
Houston’s defense was impressive last week, holding the San Francisco 49ers to only 15 points. If they can deliver a similar performance, they could reach a .500 record after a challenging start to the season.
Quarterback Play
Bo Nix has been performing exceptionally well for the Broncos, with 1,803 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Nix has been a key factor in Denver’s success and will look to minimize turnovers for another victory.
CJ Stroud leads Houston’s offense, having thrown for 1,623 yards, 11 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Stroud is steadily improving this season, and this game presents a significant test for him and the Texans as they aim for their fourth win in five games.
Betting Trends
- Denver is 3-4-1 against the spread this season, with a 1-1-1 ATS record on the road.
- Houston is 3-4 against the spread and 2-1 ATS at home in 2025.
- Five of Denver’s eight games have gone under the total.
- Houston is 2-4-1 on over/unders this season.
Broncos vs Texans Model Projection
- Score Projection: Denver 21 – Houston 24
- Win Probability: Denver 50% / Houston 50%
Final Thoughts
The Broncos’ five-game winning streak might be at risk this week. I predict the Texans will secure a victory on their home field, as their defense is likely to stifle another opponent after successfully limiting the 49ers last week.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com