Chelsea and Liverpool will face off in the biggest match of the week in the Premier League on Saturday. Liverpool enters this match after their first loss of the domestic campaign last time out. They will try to get back on track here, but they will have to do so away from Anfield. Before kickoff from Stamford Bridge, you can continue reading below to get my Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction.
Our Chelsea vs Liverpool Pick
- Pick: Liverpool to win
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Chelsea vs Liverpool Match Preview
Chelsea come into this fixture under pressure. Their recent results have been inconsistent, as they haven’t won in three straight matches. Injuries are complicating their squad selection as well. The absence of creative contributors like Cole Palmer weakens their attacking flexibility and their defensive record has not looked great either. Chelsea dropped its last match at Stamford Bridge and will try desperately to turn things around here.
Liverpool have looked less than invincible of late. They suffered a defeat in the Premier League to Crystal Palace and recently lost in the Champions League as well. Their injury list is also a concern. Star goalkeeper Alisson is confirmed out, meaning Giorgi Mamardashvili is likely to start. Hugo Ekitike had to come off in the Champions League match. He may be available but his fitness is a question mark. Liverpool still carry more attacking firepower and enter this match atop the Premier League table.
Looking at recent head-to-head history, Chelsea and Liverpool split their two Premier League matches a season ago. That was Chelsea’s first win over Liverpool since 2021 and the Blues will aim for another victory in this match.
Betting Insights
- Liverpool is a slight favorite going into this match. They are +130 to get the win. Chelsea is +180 to get the win and the Draw is +285.
- The total for this match has been set at 3.5 goals and the under is juiced to -170. Those who expect a high-scoring game can get the over at +135.
- Alexander Isak has the shortest odds of anyone to score a goal in this match. The new addition to Liverpool’s lineup is +160 to score in this match. He is +550 to score the first goal of the match.
Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction
I think that we can expect a match where both sides have their share of scoring chances. But at the end of the day, the quality of Liverpool will end up making the difference in this match. The defending champions should bounce back from their back-to-back losses here and remind the rest of the league that they are the class of English football despite a slight hiccup in form.
Chelsea vs Liverpool Model Projection
Score Projection: Chelsea 1 – Liverpool 2
Win Probability: Chelsea 28%, Draw 25%, Liverpool 47%
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- Source: https://ats.io/soccer/chelsea-vs-liverpool-prediction-october-4-2025/469560/