Toronto’s explosive Game 3 performance has breathed new life into the ALCS, and tonight’s Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions focus on whether Seattle can respond at home or if Toronto’s offense keeps rolling.
Sports betting is unpredictable. These picks are based on analysis and trends, but nothing is guaranteed.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners ALCS Game 4 Match Overview
Toronto bounced back in Game 3 with an offensive explosion, posting 18 hits and five home runs in a 13-4 victory. Their lineup looked rejuvenated, highlighted by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s four-hit performance and Alejandro Kirk’s three-run homer. However, starting pitcher Max Scherzer remains a question mark after struggling late in the regular season and missing significant time with a neck issue.
Seattle still holds the series lead (2-1) and returns to the pitcher-friendly confines of T-Mobile Park, where Luis Castillo takes the mound. Castillo has been reliable all season, but he is on short rest after pitching in relief in the ALDS. The Mariners’ offensive consistency is tied to Cal Raleigh’s power and Julio Rodriguez’s streak, both of whom will be key in offsetting Toronto’s resurgent bats.
Seattle Mariners Moneyline
The Mariners have shown resilience throughout the postseason and get to play at home with their ace on the mound. Castillo’s ability to induce ground balls could neutralize some of Toronto’s power. Scherzer, meanwhile, is a big unknown after posting a 7.55 ERA in his last seven starts and sitting out since late September. With Seattle’s balanced lineup and home-field advantage, the Mariners’ moneyline is the safer pick.
Under 7.5 Total Runs
T-Mobile Park is one of MLB’s most pitcher-friendly parks, and after a high-scoring Game 3, regression to a lower totals is likely. Castillo thrives in limiting damage, while Toronto could face bullpen exposure if Scherzer falters early. Despite both teams showing power, the setting and pitching matchup lean toward fewer runs scored tonight.
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Total Bases
Kirk has quietly become a key offensive piece for Toronto, and his track record at T-Mobile Park is impressive (.413 career average). Coming off a big Game 3 with a three-run homer, he’s well-positioned to deliver again. With his ability to hit for both average and power, Kirk’s over on total bases looks strong against Castillo and a taxed Mariners bullpen.
Cal Raleigh to Record an RBI
Raleigh has been Seattle’s most consistent power threat this season, hitting 60 home runs with 125 RBI. He has already shown the ability to produce in clutch postseason moments. With Rodriguez and Polanco likely setting the table, Raleigh should have multiple RBI opportunities, making this prop one of the best value plays.
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- Source: https://sportshandle.com/blue-jays-vs-mariners-predictions-mlb-alcs-game-4-props-totals/