Best Picks & Parlays for WNBA (July 30 – 31): Fever to Cover the Spread

Fahad Umar
July 30, 2025
11:58 am

This week, we have our best picks and parlays for WNBA prepared for you a bit early. The main reason is the Lynx vs Liberty clash, with two Conference leaders facing each other for the first time this season. The Lynx are undisputed this year and have only lost five games so far. While many see them as the main title contenders, they still have to prove themselves in tough games like the one against the Liberty.

Also playing is the Fever vs Mercury matchup, which also promises to bring some exciting moments. We have all of that and more broken down as thoroughly as possible, and with a few strong betting tips for your parlay betslip.

*Sports betting carries inherent risks, and outcomes can be unpredictable. The recommendations offered here are based on current data and analysis but should not be viewed as guarantees of success.

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury – Fever to Cover the Spread

The Indiana Fever (14-12) welcome the Phoenix Mercury (16-9) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Both teams come in with recent strong performances, and playoff positioning is at stake. Indiana is on a two-game winning streak, while Phoenix also just grabbed a road win. Previous encounters this season have been tightly contested, and the Fever have covered the spread in their last five head-to-head matchups against the Mercury, occasionally even as underdogs.

Fever’s Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 20.2 points per game with solid shooting numbers, and Caitlin Clark continues to be a dynamic playmaker with 8.8 assists per game for Indiana. On the other hand, Satou Sabally is posting 18.0 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, while Alyssa Thomas is filling the stat sheet in points, rebounds, and assists.

Take Indiana Fever +3.5 on the spread. Indiana has played the Mercury tight all season and performed well against the spread in recent meetings. Alternatively, look at Under 163 points. With the Fever tightening up defensively at home, this could lead to a lower-scoring battle than the odds predict.

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty – Lynx to Cover the Spread

The Minnesota Lynx (22-5) face the New York Liberty (17-8) at Target Center. Minnesota sits atop the WNBA standings and boasts a dominant 14-1 home record. Their offense has been clicking (85.9 points per game) behind Napheesa Collier, who is averaging 23.0 points and 7.6 rebounds. The Lynx recently dropped a narrow game to Atlanta but have gone 7-3 in their last 10, showing steady form.

The Liberty have been solid, though their 5-5 road mark shows some vulnerability away from home. Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones have played well, but the team is without star forward Breanna Stewart (leg injury) and Nyara Sabally. Stewart’s absence, in particular, limits New York’s rebounding and interior defense.

This is their first meeting of the season, but the Lynx’s strong defense (allowing only 75.4 points per game) and high-powered home offense could make the difference. With Minnesota nearly unbeatable at home, New York will need contributions from their backcourt to stay close, especially given their depleted front line.

I suggest taking the Minnesota Lynx -4.5 on the spread. The Lynx’s home dominance and the Liberty missing Stewart make a Minnesota cover a strong position. Also consider Under 163 total points. Both teams prefer to slow the pace, and Stewart’s absence may limit New York’s scoring, supporting a lower total.

Dallas Wings vs Atlanta Dream – Wings to Cover the Spread

The Dallas Wings (8-19) take on the Atlanta Dream (15-10) at College Park Center on July 30, 2025. Dallas recently picked up a home win over New York and continues to rely on Arike Ogunbowale’s scoring and leadership. Rookie guard Paige Bueckers also brings a boost after returning to the lineup. The Wings earned a convincing 68-55 victory in their last meeting against Atlanta, holding the Dream’s offense well below its season average.

Atlanta comes in with solid form, winning two in a row and maintaining a balanced attack behind Allisha Gray and Brionna Jones. However, they are still missing star guard Rhyne Howard (knee) until at least August, which has affected their backcourt production. Maya Caldwell and bench depth will need to step up. The Dream won their earlier matchup this season 83-75, but their offensive efficiency has dipped with Howard sidelined.

It would be wise to take the Dallas Wings +7.5 on the spread. With improved health and recent success versus Atlanta, Dallas is well-positioned to keep it close at home. Another bet to consider is Under 163.5 total points. Atlanta’s offense is less explosive without Howard, and previous matchups this year have finished well below this total.

Washington Mystics vs Golden State Valkyries – Mystics to Cover the Spread

The Washington Mystics (12-13) host the Golden State Valkyries (11-13) at CareFirst Arena on July 31, 2025. The teams met earlier this season in a close game where the Valkyries edged out the Mystics 76-74. Washington’s Brittney Sykes leads the team with around 17 points per game, while Golden State relies on Kelsey Thornton’s scoring and efficient shooting.

The Mystics are struggling to maintain consistent play, hovering around .500, and the Valkyries have lost their last game. Washington has home-court advantage, which could be decisive. Neither team is missing major players, but both tend to play a tight defensive style, which may limit scoring.

The best way to go here is to take the Washington Mystics -2 on the spread. The Mystics have shown stronger performances at home and are motivated to bounce back after recent losses. Alternatively, Under 160 points total is also a good option to try. Given both teams’ defensive focus and the low scoring in their last encounter, expect a lower-scoring game than the average WNBA contest.