Bengals vs. Ravens Predictions + Best Picks and Props

Fahad Umar
November 27, 2025
2:00 pm

The Bengals vs. Ravens predictions for this Thanksgiving Prime Time game come with one major storyline: Joe Burrow returns just in time for a matchup where he has historically averaged 300 yards and two touchdowns, making several Week 13 picks especially interesting for NFL betting.

These suggestions are based on current analysis and trends, but sports outcomes are unpredictable, so consider them helpful guidance rather than guarantees.

Bengals vs. Ravens NFL Thanksgiving Game Overview

Cincinnati enters at 3-8, but the biggest shift for this week matchup is the return of Joe Burrow, who was fully participating in practice after dealing with a toe injury since Week 2. His presence immediately transforms this offense, especially with how well he has performed in previous Cincinnati vs. Baltimore games.

Burrow’s 104.8 passer rating in nine meetings with Baltimore, alongside Ja’Marr Chase’s tendency to deliver some of his biggest performances in these head-to-head battles, suggests the Bengals could keep pace offensively.

Baltimore, however, carries more consistency into this John Madden Thanksgiving Celebration game. The Ravens are riding a five-game win streak and sit at 6-5, powered by Lamar Jackson’s leadership and a physical run game featuring Derrick Henry, who scored twice last week.

Their defense has been a major factor as well, producing turnovers, pressure, and reliable red-zone play. The Ravens have dominated this matchup recently, winning four straight overall and three straight at home, where Jackson holds an impressive .846 winning percentage in primetime.

Ravens First Half Spread -3.5

Baltimore has been one of the strongest first-half teams this season, especially at home, which makes this one of the best bets to consider. Their defense tends to start fast, often generating early pressure that forces opposing quarterbacks into quick decisions. With Cincinnati missing key players like DE Trey Hendrickson and CB Marco Wilson, the Ravens should have opportunities to build momentum early.

Lamar Jackson’s efficiency in home primetime games also boosts this. His .846 winning percentage in these situations reflects how quickly Baltimore can seize control. Paired with a run-heavy approach that drains the clock and limits possessions, the Ravens -3.5 first half spread aligns with how they’ve performed throughout the year.

Over 51.5 Total Points

With Burrow back, Cincinnati regains its biggest offensive weapon, and that alone pushes this matchup toward a higher-scoring scenario. When Burrow is healthy, this offense can turn into a pass-heavy unit capable of producing explosive plays. His connection with Chase has historically created shootout potential in this rivalry.

Baltimore also contributes significantly to the Over. Between Lamar Jackson’s ability to extend plays and Henry’s red-zone reliability, the Ravens have a balanced offense capable of producing long drives and touchdowns. Their recent streak of high offensive efficiency, combined with Cincinnati’s struggles on defense and injuries in key spots, supports Over 51.5 as one of the stronger picks this week.

Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD

Chase remains one of the most appealing player props in this game. His track record against Baltimore speaks for itself; he routinely finds soft spots in the secondary and often finishes with some of his most productive outings of the season. With Joe Burrow returning, Chase immediately becomes the focal point of Cincinnati’s scoring opportunities.

Baltimore’s defense is physical but can be beaten by elite receivers in isolated matchups. Chase’s speed, route running, and chemistry with Burrow make him a high-value pick for an Anytime TD in this Week 13 matchup.

Derrick Henry Anytime TD

Henry’s impact near the goal line has been undeniable since joining Baltimore, and his two rushing touchdowns last week reinforce how central he is to their red-zone play calling. In a physical game script that leans on controlling the clock, Henry should see multiple scoring opportunities.

Cincinnati’s run defense has been inconsistent, and with key injuries affecting their front, Baltimore is likely to lean on Henry early and often. His power running style fits perfectly into what the Ravens want to do in the Thanksgiving Prime Time game, making Derrick Henry Anytime TD one of the safest prop bets available this week.