The stage is set for a compelling Round of 16 match at the FIFA Club World Cup, as Benfica and Chelsea gear up to do battle on Saturday, June 28, 2025 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Benfica enter off the back of a roaring Group C performance, notably overcoming Bayern Munich 1–0, while Chelsea claimed second place in Group D. Here, you will find my analysis for this knockout stage match along with my Benfica vs Chelsea prediction for Saturday.
Our Benfica vs Chelsea Prediction
- Pick: Chelsea moneyline (+110)
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Benfica vs Chelsea Match Preview
Benfica has scored in each of their three group stage matches, tallying 9 goals while conceding just twice. Angel Di María has been key, turning back the clock with his goal scoring and providing sharp creativity. Their 1-0 win over Bayern in the final day of Group C play was an impressive statement of intent, as they topped a group featuring Boca Juniors and Bayern, signaling they’re peaking in time for the knockout rounds.
Chelsea, conversely, has had an up-and-down group stage by their standards. The English giants took care of business against teams they were expected to beat in LAFC and Esperance Tunis, but they fell 3-1 against Flamengo in a match that ultimately decided which team finished first in Group D. Chelsea’s path forward in this tournament is arguably easier because of that result, as they managed to avoid Bayern Munich, who finished second in Group C. We will see if they can take advantage of that by winning this match to move on.
This is the first meeting between these clubs since they faced off in the Europa League in 2013. They have faced off in European competition three times, with Chelsea winning all three of those matches. Needless to say, those were very different Chelsea and Benfica teams and the history books don’t apply to this game.
Betting Insights
- Chelsea is favored to win this match at +110. Benfica is +260 to win in 90 minutes, while the draw is +230.
- The total goals line for this match is set at 2.5 goals, with the under at -118 and the over at -106 at bet365.
- Both Teams to Score is slightly favored by oddsmakers, with the yes option at -134 and the no at +100.
Benfica vs Chelsea Prediction
The contest promises to be open and physical. Benfica’s structure and finishing ability may trouble Chelsea, but England’s representatives run with more depth and should be able to shake off their second-place finish in group play. Chelsea’s midfield trio of Fernández, Caicedo, and Palmer may just outplay Benfica in the middle of the park. Expect an early Benfica goal, followed by Chelsea responding with two of their own to advance to the quarterfinals.
Benfica vs Chelsea Model Projection
- Score Projection: Benfica 1 – Chelsea 2
- Win Probability: Benfica 38%, Chelsea 45%, Draw 17%
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- Source: https://ats.io/soccer/benfica-vs-chelsea-prediction-club-world-cup-round-of-16/426025/