We’re coming off a perfect 3-for-3 weekend with our UFC predictions, correctly forecasting Bo Nickal’s upset loss with a smart pick on DRD at +235 odds.
Now, we turn our attention to UFC 315, which features some exciting matchups – starting with the highly anticipated main event. Belal Muhammad is set to defend his UFC Welterweight title in a bout that comes with last-minute changes.
Originally scheduled to face Shavkat Rakhmonov, Muhammad will instead take on Jack Della Maddalena after Rakhmonov withdrew due to injury. As it stands, the odds lean in favor of the reigning champ, but can the Aussie underdog swing the momentum his way?
Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena Betting Odds
Moneyline:
– Belal Muhammad: -220
– Jack Della Maddalena: +175
Fight Details
– Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
– Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
– Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
– Broadcast: Available on Pay-Per-View
Why Muhammad’s -220 Odds Make Sense
Though some fans label Belal Muhammad as overly cautious or “boring,” there’s no denying his elite skill set. With a professional record of 24-3-11, he’s gone undefeated since 2019. His 2021 bout against Leon Edwards ended in a no contest due to an accidental eye poke, but Muhammad bounced back impressively, winning six straight fights afterward.
The most notable of those wins? A title rematch against Edwards. Muhammad dominated the fight with relentless wrestling, scoring a career-high nine takedowns since his UFC debut in 2016. On top of that, he outstruck Edwards—widely regarded for his kickboxing—by a margin of 21 significant strikes.
That performance wasn’t just about control; it showcased Muhammad’s evolution as a complete mixed martial artist, combining elite grappling, solid boxing, cardio, and tactical awareness.
Can Della Maddalena Deliver the Upset?
Jack Della Maddalena enters the fight with a 17-2 record, including an impressive 12 wins via KO or TKO—a testament to his striking prowess. Averaging nearly seven significant strikes per minute, the Australian is known for aggressive stand-up and quick finishes. In fact, four of his seven UFC victories came in the first round.
However, the glaring question surrounding Della Maddalena is his endurance. He’s never been in a five-round contest, and his ability to maintain pace into deep rounds remains untested.
More concerning is his vulnerability on the ground. In his last outing, Gilbert Burns took him down seven times — a stark warning given Belal Muhammad’s own wrestling acumen. If Della Maddalena couldn’t stop Burns, how will he fare against one of the division’s top grapplers?
Our Prediction: Belal Muhammad to Win
When all factors are weighed, the smart pick is Belal Muhammad. While Della Maddalena is a dangerous striker with knockout power, Muhammad brings a well-rounded game with championship-level wrestling — the exact area where the Aussie has struggled the most.
Unless Della Maddalena can end the fight early with a big shot, expect Muhammad to control the tempo, take the fight to the ground, and grind out a convincing victory.
Pick: Belal Muhammad to retain his title at UFC 315.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com