The Eagles have won four straight matchups against the Bears, but Chicago enters this Black Friday showdown with a four-game win streak and the league’s most aggressive takeaway defense – a combination that shapes the Bears vs. Eagles Predictions for NFL betting in Week 13. In this Black Friday NFL Game, there are several strong options for picks, including spread and totals, along with player props on Saquon Barkley and Kyle Monangai.
*Sports betting is never guaranteed – these suggestions are based on matchup analysis, not certainty.
Bears vs. Eagles Black Friday NFL Game Overview
Chicago comes into this game at 8-3 with major momentum. The Bears offense ranks 2nd in the league in rushing, and Caleb Williams has been especially effective in late-game situations throughout their win streak. Rookie RB Kyle Monangai has scored in three straight games, while the defense continues to create turnovers at a league-best rate (24 takeaways).
The key issue remains run defense, allowing 5.2 yards per carry. D’Andre Swift returns at full strength, and the secondary gets a boost with Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon both coming off injured reserve.
Philadelphia is also 8-3 but returns home following a 24-21 loss in Dallas after giving up a 21-point lead. The Eagles offense remains dangerous with Jalen Hurts’ rushing and passing versatility, but penalties and second-half stagnation have slowed production, as the team ranks 17th in points per game and 26th in penalties.
Injuries will play a major role: Lane Johnson is likely out, WR DeVonta Smith is uncertain, and rookie safety Andrew Mukuba heading to IR forces Sydney Brown into a starting role. The clear path for Philadelphia is leaning on Saquon Barkley against Chicago’s vulnerable run defense.
Bears to Cover the Spread +7
Chicago enters this matchup with a four-game win streak and the league’s most aggressive takeaway defense, which helps them stay competitive even against high-powered opponents. The Bears also rank 2nd in rushing, giving them a reliable production base that keeps games close and limits opponent possessions.
Philadelphia’s recent struggles in the second half — including penalties and stalled drives — make a full touchdown spread attractive. With Lane Johnson likely out and DeVonta Smith uncertain, the Eagles’ offense becomes more one-dimensional. If Chicago continues to generate turnovers and control the ground game, staying within +7 is a realistic outcome even if Philadelphia wins outright.
Under 44.5 Total Points
Multiple factors support the Under. Chicago controls games through the run and reduces possession volume, while Philadelphia’s second-half challenges and penalty issues have repeatedly stalled drives. The Eagles’ injuries to their offensive line and receivers further decrease explosive-play potential.
On the other side, Chicago’s defense forces a high number of turnovers, which often kills drives rather than extending them. Combined, these patterns point toward a lower-scoring matchup rather than an offensive shootout.
Saquon Barkley Anytime TD
The most impactful mismatch is Philadelphia’s rushing attack against the Bears’ weak run defense. Allowing 5.2 yards per carry creates a clear path for Barkley to accumulate touches and red-zone opportunities.
With Lane Johnson likely out and DeVonta Smith questionable, the offense should revolve even more around Barkley. His dual role as both rusher and safety valve in short passing situations increases scoring probability.
Kyle Monangai Anytime TD
Chicago ranks 2nd in the league in rushing and continues to rely on Monangai in goal-line and short-yardage situations. His three-game touchdown streak stems from his physical running style and the Bears’ commitment to the ground game inside the 20.
Philadelphia’s defense has been affected by penalties and injuries, especially at safety after Mukuba was placed on IR. Against a secondary in transition, Monangai remains one of the most reliable scoring prop options.
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- Source: https://sportshandle.com/bears-vs-eagles-predictions-and-picks-black-friday-game-nfl-2025-props-spread-totals/