Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs UIC Flames Prediction – 12/3/2025

Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs UIC Flames Prediction - 12/3/2025

The Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions face a tough road test when they visit the UIC Flames on Wednesday afternoon. UAPB is still searching for its first win of the season at 0–8. UIC is looking to rebound from a recent slip-up and hopes to stay undefeated at home. The Flames are heavy favorites going into this game and you can find out if I think that is justfied below, as I make my Arkansas Pine Bluff vs UIC prediction.

Our Arkansas Pine Bluff vs UIC Pick

Pick: UIC –18.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Arkansas Pine Bluff @ UIC
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, December 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Credit Union 1 Arena, Chicago, Illinois
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Arkansas Pine Bluff vs UIC Odds

Spread Total (O/U)
UIC –18.5 163.5

Key Storylines

  • UAPB’s road woes continue: The Golden Lions are winless on the season. They are 0–8 overall and all of their games have come away from home. They have lost every game so far, and have yet to stay within 20 points of an opponent this season.
  • UIC back home after a rough outing: The Flames dropped their most recent game on the road against Robert Morris. But they enter this game with a 2–0 home record, and playing at Credit Union 1 Arena has given them a major advantage thus far. UIC is averaging 81 points per game this year and will try to take advantage of facing a dreadful UAPB defense.
  • Mismatch in tempo and defense: UIC has allowed 73.7 points per game early in the season. UAPB averages just 69.3 points on offense and yields 98.1 points per game. That kind of differential suggests UIC can control this game against a Pine Bluff defense that ranks 361st out of 365 Division I teams at KenPom.
  • There is no recent head-to-head history between these two clubs.
  • Arkanasas Pine Bluff is 3-5 against the spread this season despite its 0-8 start.
  • UIC has gone 2-3-1 against the spread early in the year.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of the first 6 games for UIC this season.
  • Arkansas Pine Bluff is 4-4 in the over/under market entering Wednesday’s action.

Arkansas Pine Bluff vs UIC Model Projection

Score Projection: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 68 – UIC 88

Win Probability: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 7%, UIC 93%

Final Thoughts

It’s hard to see this game ending with anything but a blowout victory for the UIC Flames. Arkansas Pine Bluff is one of the worst defensive teams in all of college basketball and they should continue to struggle getting stops against a respectable UIC offense. I’ll lay the huge number with UIC, more because of how poorly I rate UAPB than because of anything that UIC does well.

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