The Arizona Cardinals and Dallas Cowboys will conclude Week 9 of the NFL season on Monday Night Football. Both teams are below .500 this season and need a win to boost their dwindling NFC playoff chances. Before Monday night’s kickoff in Arlington, here’s my Cardinals vs Cowboys prediction.
Our Cardinals vs Cowboys Pick
– Pick: Over 53.5
– Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
– Matchup: Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
– Date & Time: Monday, September 3, 2025, 8:15 p.m. ET
– Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
– Broadcast: ABC/ESPN
Key Storylines
A key storyline in this matchup is the return of Cardinals starting quarterback Kyler Murray, who missed the last two games with a foot injury. Murray’s return gives Arizona a crucial offensive boost. Jacoby Brissett filled in for Murray, but he lacks Murray’s mobility, and Murray’s return could help end a five-game losing streak.
The Cowboys’ offense has been strong this season, averaging 30.8 points per game and approximately 2.79 points per drive. However, their defense is allowing an average of 31.3 points per game and ranks among the worst in yardage allowed in the NFL. Dallas’ defense needs improvement if they hope to climb the NFC standings and reach the postseason.
Quarterback Play
Kyler Murray’s return is significant for Arizona. He has thrown for 962 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions while leading the Cardinals in rushing with 173 yards. His return could open up more offensive options for the Cardinals.
Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott has thrown for just over 2,000 yards, 16 touchdowns, and five touchdowns. He has effectively moved the ball through the air, mainly to George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb. Without defensive improvement, Prescott’s aerial success might not translate into wins for the Cowboys.
Betting Trends
– The Cowboys are 4-4 against the spread this season.
– Arizona is 4-3 against the spread going into this contest.
– The Cowboys have exceeded the total in six of their first eight games this season.
– Arizona has gone 4-3 to the over through seven games.
Cardinals vs Cowboys Model Projection
– Score Projection: Arizona Cardinals 27 – Dallas Cowboys 30
– Win Probability: Cardinals 44%, Cowboys 56%
Final Thoughts
Regardless of the winner, this game is expected to be high-scoring in Arlington. The Cowboys have been strong offensively and weak defensively throughout the season. That trend is likely to continue, especially with Kyler Murray’s return. I’ll take the over and anticipate a high-scoring matchup from both sides at Jerry World.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com