Both Andre Fili and Christian Rodriguez have struggled to find consistent results in UFC lately. They will both have a chance to get a win when they face off this Saturday at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas. Rodriguez is a favorite to get a win in this matchup between two fighters coming off losses in their last outings. Before the action begins in the octagon, you can continue reading to get my Andre Fili vs Christian Rodriguez prediction.
Our Andre Fili vs Christian Rodriguez Pick
- Pick: Christian Rodriguez by decision
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Tale of the Tape
| Andre Fili | Christian Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 29 |
| Reach | 74 in | 71.5 in |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 24‑12‑0 | 12‑3‑0 |
Andre Fili vs Christian Rodriguez Preview
Andre Fili brings over a decade of UFC experience to the octagon. He has 36 total bouts in his pro MMA career and 24 wins in those fights. His recent path has been inconsistent. He took a loss by guillotine choke to Melquizael Costa in February 2025 and got a split decision win over Cub Swanson in June 2024. Fili has alternated wins and losses over his last seven fights dating back to 2022. He will look to get back into the win column with a strong performance in this fight.
Christian Rodriguez is 1-2 in his last three fights and will hope that having fewer miles on his odometer helps him get back into the win column on Saturday. Rodriguez has a 12‑3 record going into this fight. His last outing was a decision loss to Melquizael Costa in March. Avoiding a second loss in a row will be very important for the trajectory of Rodriguez’s career.
Betting Insights
- Rodriguez is a -245 favorite to win this fight. Fili is the underdog at +200 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
- The line on total rounds is set at over/under 2.5 rounds. The over is priced at –230 and that implies an expectation of this fight going the distance.
- Three of Fili’s last four fights have ended inside the distance.
- Rodriguez has had five of his last six fights end in decisions.
Andre Fili vs Christian Rodriguez Prediction
This is a pretty evenly matched fight from a statistical point of view. Fili and Rodriguez have similar numbers in terms of their significant strikes landed and their takedowns. This fight could come down to which fighter has the better gas tank to outlast their opponent. I think that fighter will be Christian Rodriguez.
Rodriguez is the younger fighter and has been in fewer UFC matchups in his career. He hasn’t taken as much damage as Fili has over the course of his time as a pro fighter. I think that will work in his favor here and that the Mexican fighter will come away with a much-needed win on Saturday night.
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- Source: https://ats.io/mma/andre-fili-vs-christian-rodriguez-prediction/461729/