Here are the AFL Round 9 2025 betting tips:
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Match Previews & Betting Tips
St Kilda vs. Carlton
Carlton are off to a strong start this season with a 7-1 first-half record, the best in the league. St Kilda sit at 4-4. Recent history between these two sides and Carlton’s matches in general point to low-scoring affairs, with seven of their eight games going under the total (average 160.4 points). Their last three meetings with St Kilda also went under (142, 127, 150). St Kilda are coming into this game on the back of a 127-point performance.
This one could go either way, but St Kilda offers decent value. Suggested Same Game Multi (SGM) at 12.00:
– Carlton to win the first half
– St Kilda to win the match
– Under 180.0 total points
Essendon vs. Sydney
Sydney have covered the line five times out of six as the away favourite in the past 12 months. They’ve also beaten Essendon in four of their last five head-to-heads when playing away. Overall, the Swans have won six of the last seven encounters against the Bombers—including the last three.
Essendon’s home losses tend to be tight, with four of their last five home defeats falling within the 1–39 margin. The same pattern applies in four of their last home games against Sydney. A strategic play here is backing Sydney to win by 1–39 points at odds of 2.20.
Port Adelaide vs. Adelaide
Rivalry games like the South Australian derby often defy general form, making historical matchups a more reliable guide. The last two meetings have seen total scores of 126 and 138, and seven of the last nine matchups went under 177.5 points.
For this game, consider backing Under 185.5 points at 1.52.
Geelong vs. GWS Giants
Four of GWS’s five away games this season have gone under the total, averaging just 145.8 points. Their last three games against Geelong also saw low scores. In fact, the Giants’ last seven visits to GMHBA Stadium averaged just 154.7 points, and none of their last twelve clashes with the Cats exceeded 178 total points (average 153).
The recommendation here is Under 184.5 total points at 1.50.
North Melbourne vs. Brisbane
North Melbourne’s home games have averaged a total of 203.5 points this season, while Brisbane’s away fixtures have averaged 195.5 points—much higher than their home numbers. The average total match score at Hobart’s Ninja Stadium (Bellerive Oval) since 2023 is 190.8.
Weather forecasts show partly cloudy conditions with light winds, so expectations are for a high-scoring affair. Back Over 166.5 total points at 1.50.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com