– The Las Vegas Aces are 10.5-point favorites against the Golden State Valkyries in Saturday’s WNBA Commissioner’s Cup match.
– Las Vegas is among the bottom three teams in opponent field goal percentage and assists.
– Read on for Aces vs Valkyries odds, picks, props, and viewing details.
The WNBA Commissioner’s Cup continues Saturday with the Las Vegas Aces (4-2) facing the Golden State Valkyries (2-5). The Aces, last year’s Cup winners, won their first game of 2025, while Golden State seeks their first win in this format after two losses. Sportsbooks favor the Aces heavily for this matchup.
How to Watch Aces vs Valkyries
Tip-off is set for Noon PT, 3 pm ET at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA, with coverage on ABC and ESPN+. Golden State is 1-2 at home, while Las Vegas is 2-2 on the road.
Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Odds
The Aces are 10.5-point favorites and -590 on the moneyline. The Valkyries are +410 underdogs, with a total of 160.5.
Aces vs Valkyries Picks
I’m avoiding the spread and moneylines, focusing on the total instead. The 160.5 point over/under seems low, as the Aces have a strong offense, and both teams struggle defensively.
Las Vegas has the league’s sixth-best offensive rating, led by A’ja Wilson. The 2018 top pick is among the top-3 in scoring and second in rebounding in the WNBA. She recently scored 35 points and has a career 50% shooting rate. While not the most accurate, the Aces compensate with high volume.
Only two teams attempt more shots per game than Las Vegas. They have the third fewest turnovers and are not hesitant to shoot threes, averaging 28 attempts at 36% accuracy.
These stats, along with weak defense, can contribute to a high-scoring game. Las Vegas allows the second highest field goal percentage and third most assists in the league.
LV vs GS Advanced Stats
Golden State, although having the longest WNBA Championship odds, plays an exciting style. They are top-five in pace and lead in three-point attempts. The team is full of young talent like Veronica Burton, Juste Jocyte, Carla Leite, and Janelle Salaun, the team’s leading scorer.
Defensively, few teams are worse, boosting the Aces offense. Golden State allows 43% field goal accuracy, 39% from three, and 83 points per game.
Aces vs Valkyries Player Props
WNBA props from DraftKings and FanDuel as of June 6.
– Jewell Young 2+ Threes (-140 at DraftKings)
Jewell Young is well-positioned to exploit weak three-point defense. She shoots 41.7% from beyond the arc and averages over 6 attempts per game, a career high.
Young has hit at least two threes in four of her last five games, and made six in a game against Connecticut earlier. With focus on slowing Wilson, Young should have many open three-point opportunities.
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