The 2025 Mobil 1 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway is set to kick off the Round of 12 in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs on Sunday. After an intense Round of 16, 12 drivers remain, and this race will be the first opportunity to secure a spot in the Round of 8. Here, I break down this race and make my Mobil 1 301 prediction for Sunday.
Our Mobil 1 301 Pick
- Pick: Joey Logano
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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2025 Mobil 1 301 Preview
This race is the first in the Round of 12. There are three races in this stage of the playoffs and drivers can advance right away with a win here. Many eyes will be on Christopher Bell going into this race. He comes into New Hampshire as the winner at Bristol and was last year’s winner at this track. He’s carrying momentum and confidence into this race. Veteran drivers like Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch bring strong histories here, while others like Joey Logano and Kyle Larson have shown they can contend without having yet taken a win at this track.
This track’s relatively flat banking makes handling over long runs important. Drivers must manage tire wear and get good, clean air, especially in traffic. The weather, qualifying, and early stages of the race will be important to secure track position, which often translates into success here.
Mobil 1 301 Track Info
- Location: New Hampshire Motor Speedway, Loudon, New Hampshire
- Length: 1.058 miles per lap
- Total distance: 301 laps / approximately 318.46 miles
- Banking: Turns 2-7°, straightaways 1°
- Prior winners & performance: Active drivers with the most wins include Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch (3 each), Christopher Bell (2 wins, including 2024), Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski (2 each).
Betting Odds
Here are some of the key odds for outright victory in the Mobil 1 301 at New Hampshire:
- Christopher Bell: 330 (favorite)
- Denny Hamlin: +650
- Kyle Larson: +650
- Ryan Blaney: +650
- Chase Briscoe: +700
- Joey Logano: +750
- William Byron: +1100
- Chase Elliott: +1200
- Tyler Reddick: +1500
- Bubba Wallace: +2200
- Ross Chastain: +2500
Mobil 1 301 Prediction
This should be a telling race early in the second round of the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. I don’t think that Bell is a good value here, as his win last week has made his odds too short in order to justify backing him in this race. Instead, I am going to go with someone beneath the cut line to get the win and secure automatic passage into the Round of 8.
I think that Joey Logano is a decent play to get the win in this event. Logano is still in the playoff chase and is in 10th place of the remaining 12 drivers in the standings. He needs to make a big move to continue his title hopes and I think he will make that big move by winning in New Hampshire this weekend.
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- Source: https://ats.io/nascar/2025-nascar-mobil-1-301-preview-race-prediction/467359/